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Frontiers of Economics in China

ISSN 1673-3444

ISSN 1673-3568(Online)

CN 11-5744/F

邮发代号 80-978

Frontiers of Economics in China  2009, Vol. 4 Issue (1): 30-45   https://doi.org/10.1007/s11459-009-0002-7
  research-article 本期目录
Structural instability of China inflation dynamics
Structural instability of China inflation dynamics
ZHANG Chengsi()
School of Finance, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China
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Abstract

This article employs recently developed unknown structural break tests to investigate intrinsic structural instability in China inflation dynamics over 1981–2007. In order to capture accurately the statistical nature of potential structural beak, we use asymptotic p-value function under the non-standard distribution condition to compute the p-values for structural change tests in the presence of nuisance parameter. Empirical results suggest that China inflation dynamics witnessed a significant structural change at the end of 1994 and the instability appears to be originated from the dynamic parameters in the underlying model. The paper discusses important policy implications of the empirical findings through impulse response analyses.

Key wordsinflation    inflation dynamics    structural change    monetary policy
出版日期: 2009-03-05
Corresponding Author(s): ZHANG Chengsi,Email:zhangcs@ruc.edu.cn   
 引用本文:   
. Structural instability of China inflation dynamics[J]. Frontiers of Economics in China, 2009, 4(1): 30-45.
ZHANG Chengsi. Structural instability of China inflation dynamics. Front Econ Chin, 2009, 4(1): 30-45.
 链接本文:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fec/CN/10.1007/s11459-009-0002-7
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fec/CN/Y2009/V4/I1/30
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