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Frontiers of Economics in China

ISSN 1673-3444

ISSN 1673-3568(Online)

CN 11-5744/F

邮发代号 80-978

Frontiers of Economics in China  2010, Vol. 5 Issue (3): 421-429   https://doi.org/10.1007/s11459-010-0105-1
  research-article 本期目录
Expectation, Excess Liquidity and Inflation Dynamics in China
Expectation, Excess Liquidity and Inflation Dynamics in China
Jisheng Yang()
School of Economics, Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan 430074, China
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Abstract

By introducing the shocks from individual activities into the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curve (HNKPC), we investigate the inflation dynamics and the effect of excess liquidity in China. According to the estimation result, some soundly conclusions can be drawn. Firstly, the empirical results indicate that the HNKPC is consistent with the nature of inflation dynamics in China, which posits the inflation dynamics as the combination of backward looking adaptive expectations and forward looking rational expectations. Moreover, defining excess liquidity by M2, the elasticity of inflation defined by CPI to excess liquidity is approximately unit, which reveals that the quasi-money is the main force behind inflation. The nature of inflation expectation and the effect of excess liquidity all provide the evidences that tight monetary policy is effective to curbing inflation in China.

Key wordsinflation    Hybrid New-Keynesian Phillips curve    expectation    excess liquidity
出版日期: 2010-09-05
Corresponding Author(s): Jisheng Yang,Email:yangjisheng770@163.com   
 引用本文:   
. Expectation, Excess Liquidity and Inflation Dynamics in China[J]. Frontiers of Economics in China, 2010, 5(3): 421-429.
Jisheng Yang. Expectation, Excess Liquidity and Inflation Dynamics in China. Front Econ Chin, 2010, 5(3): 421-429.
 链接本文:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fec/CN/10.1007/s11459-010-0105-1
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fec/CN/Y2010/V5/I3/421
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