China’s Growth Deceleration: Causes and Future Growth Prospect

doi:10.3868/s060-008-019-0003-1

Frontiers of Economics in China

2019, Vol. 14

Issue (1): 26-52 https://doi.org/10.3868/s060-008-019-0003-1

本期目录

China’s Growth Deceleration: Causes and Future Growth Prospect

Justin Yifu Lin(

)

Institute of New Structural Economics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China; Institute of South-South Cooperation and Development, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China; National School of Development, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China

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Abstract：

China’s growth decelerated substantially after 2010. This paper argues that the main cause for the deceleration is external and cyclical, China has a potential growth rate of 8%, the economy has good investment opportunities and resources, and China is likely to achieve a medium-high growth rate of around 6.5% in the coming years. The paper also examines the various structural reforms that can help China to release its growth potential and complete the transition to a well-functioning market economy.

Key words： China economic growth deceleration causes countermeasures external factors cyclical factors structural reforms growth potential well- functioning market econmy hig-growth rate medium-high growth

出版日期: 2019-04-16

引用本文:

. [J]. Frontiers of Economics in China, 2019, 14(1): 26-52.
Justin Yifu Lin. China’s Growth Deceleration: Causes and Future Growth Prospect. Front. Econ. China, 2019, 14(1): 26-52.

链接本文:

https://academic.hep.com.cn/fec/CN/10.3868/s060-008-019-0003-1
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fec/CN/Y2019/V14/I1/26

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