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Frontiers of Economics in China

ISSN 1673-3444

ISSN 1673-3568(Online)

CN 11-5744/F

邮发代号 80-978

Frontiers of Economics in China  2019, Vol. 14 Issue (4): 604-628   https://doi.org/10.3868/s060-008-019-0024-2
  本期目录
Sustainability of Monetary-cum-Exchange Rate Policy in China
Hiroya Akiba()
Waseda University, Shinjuku, Tokyo 169-8050, Japan
 全文: PDF(729 KB)  
Abstract

This paper theoretically considers the long-run sustainability of China’s monetary-cum-exchange rate policy under the impossible trinity. Two different models are examined: One sterilizes current net foreign assets (NFAs) and the other focuses on NFAs realized in the previous period. Under the de facto opening of financial flows, sterilization yields a negative risk premium in uncovered interest parity (UIP) that triggers a feedback increase among capital inflows. Here, stability depends on the magnitudes and the combination of structural and policy parameters. It is shown that if current capital inflows are sterilized, the monetary-cum-exchange rate policy in China offers a sustainable solution for exchange rates that are relatively stringently managed. However, such a solution can be obtained for relatively flexible or moderately managed rates if sterilization policy is implemented on the previous period’s inflows.

Key wordssustainability    monetary-cum-exchange rate policy    impossible trinity    sterilized intervention    capital inflow
出版日期: 2020-01-17
 引用本文:   
. [J]. Frontiers of Economics in China, 2019, 14(4): 604-628.
Hiroya Akiba. Sustainability of Monetary-cum-Exchange Rate Policy in China. Front. Econ. China, 2019, 14(4): 604-628.
 链接本文:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fec/CN/10.3868/s060-008-019-0024-2
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fec/CN/Y2019/V14/I4/604
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