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Frontiers of Economics in China

ISSN 1673-3444

ISSN 1673-3568(Online)

CN 11-5744/F

邮发代号 80-978

Frontiers of Economics in China  2020, Vol. 15 Issue (2): 247-256   https://doi.org/10.3868/s060-011-020-0011-6
  本期目录
The Relationship between Interest Rates and Inflation: Examining the Fisher Effect in China
Serdar Ongan1(), Ismet Gocer2()
1. Department of Economics, St. Mary's College of Maryland, St. Mary's City, MD 20686-3001, USA
2. Department of Econometrics, Adnan Menderes University, Aydin 09016, Turkey
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Abstract

This study revisits the Fisher effect using a different empirical method that considers a potential nonlinear relationship between interest rates (treasury bond rates) and inflation in China. The rising uncertainty and asymmetric information in financial markets between bond holders and bond issuers suggest such a potential nonlinear relationship. To this aim, we apply Shin et al.’s (2014) nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model with asymmetric dynamic multipliers for the sample period 2002M7–2018M4. The empirical findings reveal symmetric and asymmetric partial Fisher effects for all sample bond rates in China. Furthermore, we find that 20-year bond rates experience the lowest partial Fisher effect.

Key wordsFisher effect    nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model    asymmetric dynamic multipliers    China    treasury bonds    inflation    interest rates
出版日期: 2020-07-10
 引用本文:   
. [J]. Frontiers of Economics in China, 2020, 15(2): 247-256.
Serdar Ongan, Ismet Gocer. The Relationship between Interest Rates and Inflation: Examining the Fisher Effect in China. Front. Econ. China, 2020, 15(2): 247-256.
 链接本文:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fec/CN/10.3868/s060-011-020-0011-6
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fec/CN/Y2020/V15/I2/247
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