Security of solar radiation management geoengineering

doi:10.1007/s42524-019-0008-5

Front. Eng

2019, Vol. 6

Issue (1) : 102-116 https://doi.org/10.1007/s42524-019-0008-5

RESEARCH ARTICLE

Security of solar radiation management geoengineering

Andrew LOCKLEY(

)

School of Construction and Project Management, University College London Bartlett, London WC1E 6BT, UK

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Abstract

Solar Radiation Management (SRM) geoengineering is a proposed response to anthropogenic global warming (AGW) (National Academy of Sciences, 2015). There may be profound – even violent – disagreement on preferred temperature. SRM disruption risks dangerous temperature rise (termination shock). Concentrating on aircraft-delivered Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI), we appraise threats to SRM and defense methodologies. Civil protest and minor cyberattacks are almost inevitable but are manageable (unless state-sponsored). Overt military attacks are more disruptive, but unlikely – although superpowers’ symbolic overt attacks may deter SRM. Unattributable attacks are likely, and mandate use of widely-available weapons. Risks from unsophisticated weapons are therefore higher. An extended supply chain is more vulnerable than a secure airbase – necessitating supply-chain hardening. Recommendations to improve SRM resilience include heterogeneous operations from diverse, secure, well-stocked bases (possibly ocean islands or aircraft carriers); and avoidance of single-point-of-failure risks (e.g. balloons). A distributed, civilian-operated system offers an alternative strategy. A multilateral, consensual SRM approach reduces likely attack triggers.

Keywords security geoengineering solar radiation ma-nagement SRM

Corresponding Author(s): Andrew LOCKLEY

Online First Date: 21 February 2019 Issue Date: 12 March 2019

Cite this article:

Andrew LOCKLEY. Security of solar radiation management geoengineering[J]. Front. Eng, 2019, 6(1): 102-116.

URL:

https://academic.hep.com.cn/fem/EN/10.1007/s42524-019-0008-5
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fem/EN/Y2019/V6/I1/102

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