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Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering

ISSN 2095-2201

ISSN 2095-221X(Online)

CN 10-1013/X

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2018 Impact Factor: 3.883

Front Envir Sci Eng    0, Vol. Issue () : 373-386    https://doi.org/10.1007/s11783-011-0338-y
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Transition to a low-carbon city: lessons learned from Suzhou in China
Wenling LIU1,2, Can WANG1(), Xi XIE3, Arthur P. J. MOL2, Jining CHEN1
1. School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; 2. Environmental Policy Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen 6706 KN, the Netherlands; 3. The Administrative Centre for China’s Agenda 21, Beijing 100038, China
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Abstract

Climate change has become one of the most serious challenges facing humanity; developing a low-carbon economy provides new opportunities for addressing this issue. Building a low-carbon city has been pursued by people with a high degree of enthusiasm in China. Different from actions at the national level and distinct from practices of developed countries, low-carbon development in Chinese cities should be placed on diverse concerns. Taking Suzhou of Jiangsu Province of China as a case city, this paper adopts a scenario analysis approach to explore strategic focal points in the transition to a low-carbon city. Within this transition, we mainly focus on the different contributions from two factors–economic restructuring and technological upgrading. Scenario analysis results show that 1) in the case of no breakthrough technologies, it is difficult to achieve absolute emission reductions; 2) technologies involved in optimizing energy structure and improving energy efficiency of basic service sectors should be highly emphasized in local planning; 3) in comparison with technological upgrading, economic structural adjustment could be a stronger contributor to mitigation, which is one of the main differences from developed countries. However, the key issue of economic restructuring is to promote the growth of emerging low-carbon industries, which requires not only a strategic choice of new industries but also an introduction of advanced low-carbon technologies.

It is also found that establishing a local carbon emissions accounting system is a prerequisite and the first priority for realizing a low-carbon transition and government capacity buildings should be strengthened accordingly.

Keywords low-carbon city      economic restructuring      technology upgrading     
Corresponding Author(s): WANG Can,Email:canwang@tsinghua.edu.cn   
Issue Date: 01 June 2012
 Cite this article:   
Wenling LIU,Can WANG,Xi XIE, et al. Transition to a low-carbon city: lessons learned from Suzhou in China[J]. Front Envir Sci Eng, 0, (): 373-386.
 URL:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fese/EN/10.1007/s11783-011-0338-y
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fese/EN/Y0/V/I/373
citiestargetspecific measures
Londonto reduce emissions by 60 percent in 2025 compared to 1990 levelbuilding green houses, focusing on commercial sector, energy efficiency and transportation
Tokyoto reduce emissions by 25 percent in 2020 compared to 2000 levelfocusing on enterprise GHGs reduction, governmental and residential energy saving, reducing residential waste and transportation emissions etc
New Yorkto reduce emissions by 30 percent in 2030 compared to 2005 levelincreasing clean energy supply, improving building energy efficiency, emphasizing energy saving policies on government, commercial sector and households, reducing transportation emissions
Copenhagento reduce emissions by 20 percent in 2015 compared to 2005 level; to come to zero emission in 2025promoting wind and biomass power generation, implementing combined heat and power production, promoting energy-efficient buildings, developing urban green transportation, encouraging separate garbage collection, developing new energy technologies, etc
Barcelonaincreasing utilization of renewable energy (especially solar energy)
Malmobuilding carbon neutral communities
Tab.1  Examples of low-carbon city practices in developed countries
Fig.1  Framework and process of the scenario analysis
typeresidential electricity consumption/(kWh·m-2·a-1)residential cooking/(kWh·person-1·a-1)large public building/(kWh·m-2·a-1)general public building/(kWh·m-2·a-1)
energy intensity10-30100-300100-30020-50
Tab.2  Energy intensity of four types of urban building operation
vehicle typesfuel typesvehicle fleet/(104 units)average traveled mileage/kmaverage fuel economy/(km·L-1)
heavy truckgasoline0.02502.3
diesel1.2503.3
medium truckgasoline0.9243
diesel2244.3
light truckgasoline1.418.95.9
diesel2.418.96.5
mini truckgasoline0.133.511.5
diesel0.0133.513.5
heavy busgasoline0.151.62.2
diesel0.951.63
medium busgasoline0.845.32.7
diesel1.145.33.2
light busgasoline22.931.27.5
diesel1231.28.8
mini busgasoline2.931.211.9
diesel0.131.214.3
cargasoline20.322.810.5
diesel0.722.810.5
motorcyclegasoline95.8936.8
Tab.3  Vehicle classification and value of each parameter
Fig.2  Analytical framework of technical progress in a typical sector
sectorbaseline yearstructural change of low-scenario ME/%technical progress of low-scenario MT/%structural change of high-scenario ME/% technical progressof high-scenario MT/%
contribution to gross value of industrial output/%CO2 emission/Mtemission intensity per value of output/(g CO2·CNY-1)201020152020201020152020201020152020201020152020
ferrous metals9.838.9248.6-2-2.5-32.95.010.0-4-5-6.53.96.011.0
textile8.76.345.3-0.5-1-1.512.518.823.8-1-1.5-213.519.824.8
electric power1.454.82129.20.20.50.77.412.417.40.30.60.88.413.418.4
paper making2.15.2153.8-0.5-1-1.551015-1-1.5-261116
chemical raw materials5.84.245.3-2-2.5-351116-5-5.5-5.561217
non-metallic mineral1.63.5133.7-0.5-1-1.5005-1-1.5-1.5116
chemical materials3.01.327.7-0.5-1-1.551015-1-1.5-2.561116
plastics2.10.515.4-0.5-1-1.551015-1-1.5-261116
general machinery4.60.57.00.511.55101511.5261116
metal products2.30.514.10.511.55101511.5261116
computer, communication equipment31.20.30.522.535101544.5561116
non-ferrous metals3.20.36.0-2-2.5-351015-3-3-361116
special machinery2.50.11.80.511.55101511.5261116
transport equipment2.50.12.60.511.55101511.5261116
electrical machinery7.00.11.20.511.55101511.5261116
measuring instruments and machinery2.60.00.422.535101544.5561116
pharmaceutical industry0.60.448.822.535101544.5561113
other industrial sectors91.49.6000000000111
building operation1)-7.2----102545---102545
road transportation-7.6----81520---81520
Tab.4  Assumed value of each parameter in scenario setting
Fig.3  CO emissions from main industrial sectors in 2007
policies focussectors involvedspecific contents
which mainly focus on economic structural adjustmentindustrial restructuring (2007)electronic and communication equipment, computer and office equipment, pharmaceutical, medical equipment and instrumentation manufacturing industriesincreasing the proportion of high-tech industry by 1-2 percentage points per year during the “Eleventh Five-Year” period
“Eleventh Five-year” state-owned economic structural adjustment and development planning (2007)transportation, service industry, cultural media industriesdeveloping modern services, cultural media industries; increasing investments on urban transport, water supply and other infrastructure; developing the environmental protection technology industries; developing tourist industry
action plan to promote economic restructuring and changing the growth mode (2007)high-tech industriesincreasing contribution of the high-tech industry to gross industrial output value by 40 percent by 2010
to strengthen energy conservation efforts (2007)to adjust and eliminate backward production techniques, equipments and products (2006)information technology, bio-pharmaceutical industries; energy intensive industriesincreasing the proportion of information technology and bio-pharmaceutical industries by 5 percent and reducing the proportion of energy intensive industries such as chemical sectors by 5 percent per year during the “eleventh five-year” period
to speed up the process of new industrialization (2007)high-tech industries; energy intensive industriesdeveloping industries including electronic information, integrated circuits, precision machinery, bio-medicine, motor vehicles, new materials, and software, etc. eliminating backward techniques and equipment in chemical, metallurgy, electroplating, cement, printing and dyeing, and other industries
which mainly focus on technological improvement in some sectorsscientific and technological development “Eleventh Five-Year” Plan and 2020 Long-Term Goals (2006)electronic information, modern equipment, automotive key parts, new materials, biotechnology and new energy industriesemphasizing 10 key science and technology projects and 16 important techniques
industry-oriented catalog (2007)electronic information industry, pharmaceutical manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, steel, nonferrous metals, oil and gasgiving directories of encouraged, restricted, prohibited and eliminated sub-sectors
wall materials innovation and building energy-saving “Eleventh Five-Year” plan (2006)residential energy consumptionpopularizing energy-saving wall materials and building construction products, reducing building energy consumption, and improving building life
to adjust and eliminate backward production techniques, equipments and products (2006)iron and steel, cement, printing and dyeing, chemical and electroplating industriesproviding guidance on eliminating backward production techniques, equipment and products in each sector
Tab.5  Low carbon development related policies and planning
Fig.4  CO emissions in each scenario
Fig.5  CO emissions—a comparison of high scenarios
Fig.6  CO emissions of typical sectors in high scenario MET
Fig.7  CO emission reduction potential of each sector in High Scenario MET compared to the reference baseline in 2020
yearlow scenario MEhigh scenario MElow scenario MThigh scenario MTlow scenario METhigh scenario MET
in 2015 (compared with 2007)13.7%17.9%4.7%4.7%17.9%22.3%
in 2020 (compared with 2005)39.6%53.8%20.2%21.0%49.4%62.2%
Tab.6  Potential decline of CO emission intensity per unit GDP in each scenario/%
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