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Frontiers in Energy

ISSN 2095-1701

ISSN 2095-1698(Online)

CN 11-6017/TK

邮发代号 80-972

2019 Impact Factor: 2.657

Frontiers in Energy  2020, Vol. 14 Issue (1): 57-70   https://doi.org/10.1007/s11708-019-0654-7
  本期目录
环境基础设施投资是否有助于减排?来自中国的案例
宋晓倩1, 耿涌1,2,3(), 李克4, 张曦5, 吴非5, 潘恒宇5, 张一清6
1. 上海交通大学国际与公共事务学院中国城市治理研究院
2. 中国矿业大学管理学院
3. 上海污染控制与生态安全研究院
4. 湖南师范大学数学与计算机学院
5. 上海交通大学环境科学与工程学院
6. 山东工商学院能源经济协同创新中心
Does environmental infrastructure investment contribute to emissions reduction? A case of China
Xiaoqian SONG1, Yong GENG2(), Ke LI3, Xi ZHANG4, Fei WU4, Hengyu PAN4, Yiqing ZHANG5
1. China Institute of Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030
2. School of International and Public Affairs, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China; China Institute of Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China; School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China; Shanghai Institute of Pollution Control and Ecological Security, Shanghai 200092, China
3. College of Mathematics & Computer Science, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China
4. School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China
5. Collaborative Innovation Centre for Energy Economy of Shandong, Shandong Technology and Business University, Yantai 264005, China
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摘要:

环境基础设施投资是应对温室气体排放和大气污染的重要环境政策工具。本文利用中国30个省市2003-2015年的面板数据,采用改进的STRIPAT模型,研究了环境基础设施投资对CO2排放、SO2排放和PM2.5污染的影响。结果表明,环境基础设施投资对减缓二氧化碳排放具有积极而显著的作用。此外,环境基础设施投资对SO2排放的影响是波动的,技术创新可以减少PM2.5污染。同时,总体来看,能源强度对温室气体排放和大气污染的影响最大,其次是人均GDP和产业结构。并且,环境基础设施投资对环境问题的影响因地区而异。考虑到本地区的实际情况,建议应根据本地区的实际情况提出更为适当的缓解政策。

Abstract

Environmental infrastructure investment (EII) is an important environmental policy instrument on responding to greenhouse gas (GHG) emission and air pollution. This paper employs an improved stochastic impact by regression on population, affluence and technology (STRIPAT) model by using panel data from 30 Chinese provinces and municipalities for the period of 2003–2015 to investigate the effect of EII on CO2 emissions, SO2 emissions, and PM2.5 pollution. The results indicate that EII has a positive and significant effect on mitigating CO2 emission. However, the effect of EII on SO2 emission fluctuated although it still contributes to the reduction of PM2.5 pollution through technology innovations. Energy intensity has the largest impact on GHG emissions and air pollution, followed by GDP per capita and industrial structure. In addition, the effect of EII on environmental issues varies in different regions. Such findings suggest that policies on EII should be region-specific so that more appropriate mitigation policies can be raised by considering the local realities.

Key wordsenvironmental infrastructure investment (EII)    CO2 emission    SO2 emission    PM2.5 pollution    stochastic impact by regression on population    affluence and technology (STIRPAT) model    governance
收稿日期: 2019-07-06      出版日期: 2020-03-16
通讯作者: 耿涌     E-mail: ygeng@sjtu.edu.cn
Corresponding Author(s): Yong GENG   
 引用本文:   
宋晓倩, 耿涌, 李克, 张曦, 吴非, 潘恒宇, 张一清. 环境基础设施投资是否有助于减排?来自中国的案例[J]. Frontiers in Energy, 2020, 14(1): 57-70.
Xiaoqian SONG, Yong GENG, Ke LI, Xi ZHANG, Fei WU, Hengyu PAN, Yiqing ZHANG. Does environmental infrastructure investment contribute to emissions reduction? A case of China. Front. Energy, 2020, 14(1): 57-70.
 链接本文:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fie/CN/10.1007/s11708-019-0654-7
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fie/CN/Y2020/V14/I1/57
Fig.1  
Variables Mean Std. Dev. Min Max
CO2 emissions/(106t) 277.73 230.32 0.0005 155.38
SO2 emissions/(106t) 6.410 3.860 0.210 17.200
PM2.5 pollution/(105t) 54.70 33.00 3.09 167.00
EII/(109 yuan) 78.025 89.492 1.167 1047.230
A/(104yuan) 2.491 1.634 0.369 8.731
U/% 0.504 0.145 0.248 0.896
IS/% 0.469 0.078 0.197 0.590
EI/(104 yuan) 1.449 0.743 0.362 4.535
P× 104 4402.10 2647.71 534.00 10849
T 3.385 3.065 0.362 16.192
Tab.1  
Variables (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
CO2 emission SO2 emission PM2.5 pollution CO2 emission SO2 emission PM2.5 pollution
EII 0.0470** 0.0104 - 0.0405*** - - -
(0.0220) (0.0227) (0.0143) - - -
A 0.827*** 0.526*** 0.240*** 1.107*** 0.424*** 0.345**
(0.127) (0.131) (0.0822) (0.132) (0.150) (0.141)
A2 - - - -0.447*** -0.431*** -0.593***
- - - (0.0807) (0.0916) (0.0864)
IS - 0.00156 0.413*** - 0.0657 - - -
(0.131) (0.135) (0.0849) - - -
EI 1.221*** 0.930*** 0.0620 - - -
(0.113) (0.116) (0.0730) - - -
P 0.696*** - 0.617*** - 0.124 - - -
(0.221) (0.228) (0.143) - - -
T 0.273*** - 0.102 - 0.111** - - -
(0.0835) (0.0862) (0.0542) - - -
U 0.276 - 0.253 - 0.0190 - - -
(0.186) (0.192) (0.121) - - -
Constant - 1.494 17.70*** 16.23*** 4.926*** 13.18*** 15.51***
(1.721) (1.775) (1.117) (0.0596) (0.0677) (0.0639)
F-test 249.42*** 24.57*** 2.47** - - -
Hausman 309.7*** 35197.04*** - 11.3 - - -
Observations 390 390 390 390 390 390
Number of no 30 30 30 30 30 30
R-squared 0.832 0.328 0.047 0.184 0.072 0.217
Tab.2  
Variables CO2 emission SO2 emission PM2.5 pollution
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
EII 0.0829*** 0.774*** 0.0732*** 0.0747*** 0.706*** 0.0462* -0.0504*** -0.0965 -0.0515***
(0.0245) (0.160) (0.0248) (0.0245) (0.165) (0.0255) (0.0161) (0.107) (0.0162)
A 0.980*** 0.779*** 0.797*** 0.800*** 0.480*** 0.484*** 0.198** 0.244*** 0.253***
(0.134) (0.124) (0.127) (0.134) (0.128) (0.130) (0.0878) (0.0825) (0.0825)
IS - 0.0534 -0.0108 - 0.0513 0.320** 0.405*** 0.346** -0.0513 -0.0650 - 0.0448
(0.130) (0.127) (0.132) (0.130) (0.132) (0.135) (0.0854) (0.0850) (0.0860)
EI 1.158*** 1.069*** 1.199*** 0.816*** 0.785*** 0.900*** 0.0796 0.0737 0.0713
(0.113) (0.114) (0.112) (0.113) (0.118) (0.115) (0.0741) (0.0764) (0.0732)
P 0.883*** 0.739*** 0.822*** -0.282 -0.576** -0.445* -0.176 -0.127 -0.177
(0.226) (0.215) (0.227) (0.226) (0.223) (0.233) (0.148) (0.144) (0.148)
T 0.278*** 0.237*** 0.409*** - 0.0946 -0.137 0.0828 -0.113** -0.109** -0.169**
(0.0825) (0.0817) (0.103) (0.0825) (0.0846) (0.105) (0.0542) (0.0545) (0.0669)
U 0.243 0.447** 0.235 -0.312* -0.0892 -0.310 -0.00983 -0.0322 -0.00141
(0.184) (0.185) (0.186) (0.184) (0.191) (0.191) (0.121) (0.123) (0.121)
EII × A -0.0518*** -0.0929*** 0.0144
(0.0161) (0.0161) (0.0106)
EII × P -0.0892*** -0.0854*** 0.00687
(0.0194) (0.0201) (0.0130)
EII × T -0.0312** -0.0426*** 0.0131
(0.0139) (0.0142) (0.00903)
Constant -3.149* -1.579 -2.664 14.73*** 17.61*** 16.10*** 16.69*** 16.23*** 16.72***
(1.775) (1.674) (1.788) (1.776) (1.734) (1.835) (1.166) (1.118) (1.166)
Observation 390 390 390 390 390 390 390 390 390
N 30 30 30 30 0.360 0.344 0.052 0.047 0.052
R-squared 0.837 0.841 0.834 0.385 30 30 30 30 30
Tab.3  
Fig.2  
Variables Eastern Central Western
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
CO2 emission SO2 emission PM2.5pollution CO2 emission SO2 emission PM2.5 pollution CO2 emission SO2 emission PM2.5 pollution
EII 0.0704* -0.0119 -0.0405* 0.127** - 0.0624* -0.0851** -0.0401 0.0217 -0.0176
(0.0367) (0.0389) (0.0215) (0.0523) (0.0364) (0.0390) (0.0311) (0.0374) (0.0208)
A 1.275*** 0.476** 0.179 0.192 0.332* 0.335* 1.336*** 1.141*** 0.231*
(0.202) (0.214) (0.118) (0.267) (0.186) (0.199) (0.203) (0.244) (0.136)
IS 0.495* 0.630** 0.227 -0.0532 0.514*** -0.343** -0.201 -0.255 0.115
(0.296) (0.313) (0.173) (0.198) (0.138) (0.147) (0.230) (0.277) (0.154)
EI 1.426*** 1.034*** -0.138 1.274*** 0.416*** -0.201 1.010*** 0.750*** 0.315***
(0.245) (0.259) (0.143) (0.213) (0.148) (0.159) (0.173) (0.208) (0.116)
P 1.013*** -0.160 0.0770 3.288*** 0.845 -2.070*** 0.903 2.199*** -0.537
(0.324) (0.343) (0.189) (1.038) (0.722) (0.773) (0.580) (0.698) (0.389)
T -0.115 -0.249 -0.200** 0.717*** 0.0309 -0.124 0.0951 -0.681*** -0.124
(0.147) (0.156) (0.0860) (0.169) (0.118) (0.126) (0.151) (0.182) (0.101)
U 0.268 0.157 0.277* 0.118 -0.729*** -0.0728 -0.641 -0.258 0.0879
(0.259) (0.274) (0.151) (0.330) (0.230) (0.246) (0.527) (0.634) (0.354)
Constant -3.937 14.74*** 14.64*** -23.58*** 5.943 33.23*** -3.824 -5.055 19.51***
(2.530) (2.679) (1.478) (8.700) (6.058) (6.484) (4.331) (5.211) (2.905)
Observation 156 156 156 117 117 117 117 117 117
R-squared 0.804 0.518 0.117 0.865 0.349 0.240 0.906 0.407 0.184
N 12 12 12 9 9 9 9 9 9
Tab.4  
EII CO2 emission SO2 emission PM2.5 pollution
EII × 2004 0.0721* -0.09612 -0.0562***
(0.0132) (0.0126) (0.00743)
EII × 2005 0.067* 0.11247 -0.0113**
(0.0143) (0.0137) (0.00810)
EII × 2006 0.0525*** 0.103943 0.0065***
(0.0157) (0.0150) (0.00886)
EII × 2007 0.0302*** 0.0758* 0.0143***
(0.0172) (0.0164) (0.00970)
EII × 2008 0.0328*** 0.0431*** 0.0063***
(0.0182) (0.0173) (0.0102)
EII × 2009 0.0323*** 0.0127 0.003***
(0.0191) (0.0183) (0.0108)
EII × 2010 0.022*** 0.005*** 0.0025***
(0.0204) (0.0195) (0.0115)
EII × 2011 0.0196*** 0.0074*** -0.0076*
(0.0223) (0.0213) (0.0126)
EII × 2012 0.0028*** -0.009*** -0.0076
(0.0231) (0.0220) (0.0130)
EII × 2013 0.0129*** -0.013*** 0.0114***
(0.0246) (0.0234) (0.0139)
EII × 2014 0.0041*** -0.029*** 0.0012**
(0.0258) (0.0246) (0.0146)
EII × 2015 -0.017*** -0.164*** 0.0366**
(0.0278) (0.0265) (0.0157)
Constant -4.324** 13.23*** 17.39***
(1.902) (1.816) (1.074)
Control variables Yes Yes Yes
Observations 390 390 390
R-squared 0.843 0.462 0.326
Tab.5  
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