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Frontiers of Economics in China

ISSN 1673-3444

ISSN 1673-3568(Online)

CN 11-5744/F

邮发代号 80-978

Frontiers of Economics in China  2021, Vol. 16 Issue (1): 35-66   https://doi.org/10.3868/s060-013-021-0003-4
  本期目录
China's Growth Slowdown: Labor Supply, Productivity, or What?
Anping Chen1(), Nicolaas Groenewold2()
1. School of Economics, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China
2. Economics Programme, UWA Business School, University of Western Australia, Perth, WA 6009, Australia
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Abstract

There has been much discussion of the sources of China’s growth slowdown but little formal econometric analysis of this question. Chen and Groenewold (2019) show that the slowdown was primarily supply-driven, but they stopped short of identifying specific supply variables. This paper extends their analysis and distinguishes several potential supply components: labor supply, productivity, and capital accumulation. Our results confirm their main conclusion that supply dominates the explanation of the slowdown. A model with two supply factors (labor supply and productivity) reveals that both components contribute to the slowdown, although productivity makes the greater contribution. However, when capital stock is added to the model, the decline in the capital accumulation rate becomes an important factor in the growth slowdown, to some extent replacing the effects of both labor supply and productivity.

Key wordsgrowth    slowdown    supply factors    labor supply    productivity    capital accumulation
出版日期: 2021-04-15
 引用本文:   
. [J]. Frontiers of Economics in China, 2021, 16(1): 35-66.
Anping Chen, Nicolaas Groenewold. China's Growth Slowdown: Labor Supply, Productivity, or What?. Front. Econ. China, 2021, 16(1): 35-66.
 链接本文:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fec/CN/10.3868/s060-013-021-0003-4
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fec/CN/Y2021/V16/I1/35
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