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Frontiers of Earth Science

ISSN 2095-0195

ISSN 2095-0209(Online)

CN 11-5982/P

Postal Subscription Code 80-963

2018 Impact Factor: 1.205

Front. Earth Sci.    2015, Vol. 9 Issue (2) : 355-368    https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-014-0469-0
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Characterizing China’s energy consumption with selective economic factors and energy-resource endowment: a spatial econometric approach
Lei JIANG1,2, Minhe JI1(), Ling BAI1
1. The Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education of China), East China Normal University, Shanghai 200241, China
2. Faculty of Spatial Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen 9700AV, the Netherlands
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Abstract

Coupled with intricate regional interactions, the provincial disparity of energy-resource endowment and other economic conditions in China have created spatially complex energy consumption patterns that require analyses beyond the traditional ones. To distill the spatial effect out of the resource and economic factors on China’s energy consumption, this study recast the traditional econometric model in a spatial context. Several analytic steps were taken to reveal different aspects of the issue. Per capita energy consumption (AVEC) at the provincial level was first mapped to reveal spatial clusters of high energy consumption being located in either well developed or energy resourceful regions. This visual spatial autocorrelation pattern of AVEC was quantitatively tested to confirm its existence among Chinese provinces. A Moran scatterplot was employed to further display a relatively centralized trend occurring in those provinces that had parallel AVEC, revealing a spatial structure with attraction among high-high or low-low regions and repellency among high-low or low-high regions. By a comparison between the ordinary least square (OLS) model and its spatial econometric counterparts, a spatial error model (SEM) was selected to analyze the impact of major economic determinants on AVEC. While the analytic results revealed a significant positive correlation between AVEC and economic development, other determinants showed some intricate influential patterns. The provinces endowed with rich energy reserves were inclined to consume much more energy than those otherwise, whereas changing the economic structure by increasing the proportion of secondary and tertiary industries also tended to consume more energy. Both situations seem to underpin the fact that these provinces were largely trapped in the economies that were supported by technologies of low energy efficiency during the period, while other parts of the country were rapidly modernized by adopting advanced technologies and more efficient industries. On the other hand, institutional change (i.e., marketization) and innovation (i.e., technological progress) exerted positive impacts on AVEC improvement, as always expected in this and other studies. Finally, the model comparison indicated that SEM was capable of separating spatial effect from the error term of OLS, so as to improve goodness-of-fit and the significance level of individual determinants.

Keywords per capita energy consumption      economic growth      energy endowment      spatial autocorrelation      spatial econometric model     
Corresponding Author(s): Minhe JI   
Issue Date: 01 January 2023
 Cite this article:   
Lei JIANG,Minhe JI,Ling BAI. Characterizing China’s energy consumption with selective economic factors and energy-resource endowment: a spatial econometric approach[J]. Front. Earth Sci., 2015, 9(2): 355-368.
 URL:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fesci/EN/10.1007/s11707-014-0469-0
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fesci/EN/Y2015/V9/I2/355
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