Agro-climatic adaptation of cropping systems under climate change in Shanghai

doi:10.1007/s11707-014-0492-1

Front. Earth Sci.

2015, Vol. 9

Issue (3) : 487-496 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-014-0492-1

RESEARCH ARTICLE

Agro-climatic adaptation of cropping systems under climate change in Shanghai

Zhuoran LIANG^1,², Tingting GU³, Zhan TIAN²(

), Honglin ZHONG⁴, Yuqi LIANG⁵

¹. Hangzhou Meteorological Service, Hangzhou 310051, China
². Shanghai Climate Center, Shanghai Meteorological Service, Shanghai 200030, China
³. Zhejiang Meteorological Service Center, Hangzhou 310017, China
⁴. Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland College Park, MD 20742, USA
⁵. Department of Physics and Technology, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China

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Abstract

Climate change affects the heat and water resources required by agriculture, thus shifting cropping rotation and intensity. Shanghai is located in the Taihu Lake basin, a transition zone for various cropping systems. In the basin, moderate climate changes can cause major shifts in cropping intensity and rotation. In the present study, we integrated observational climate data, one regional climate model, land use maps, and agricultural statistics to analyze the relationship between heat resources and multi-cropping potential in Shanghai. The results of agro-climatic assessment showed that climate change over the past 50 years has significantly enhanced regional agro-climatic resources, rendering a shift from double cropping to triple cropping possible. However, a downward trend is evident in the actual multi-cropping index, caused principally by the increasing costs of farming and limitations in the supply of labor. We argue that improving the utilization rate of the enhanced agro-climatic resources is possible by introducing new combinations of cultivars, adopting more laborsaving technologies, and providing incentives to farmers.

Keywords climate change cropping systems multi-cropping index double rice Cold Dew wind

Corresponding Author(s): Zhan TIAN

Just Accepted Date: 06 November 2014 Online First Date: 16 March 2015 Issue Date: 20 July 2015

Cite this article:

Zhuoran LIANG,Tingting GU,Zhan TIAN, et al. Agro-climatic adaptation of cropping systems under climate change in Shanghai[J]. Front. Earth Sci., 2015, 9(3): 487-496.

URL:

https://academic.hep.com.cn/fesci/EN/10.1007/s11707-014-0492-1
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fesci/EN/Y2015/V9/I3/487

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