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Frontiers of Earth Science

ISSN 2095-0195

ISSN 2095-0209(Online)

CN 11-5982/P

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2018 Impact Factor: 1.205

Front. Earth Sci.    2023, Vol. 17 Issue (2) : 561-575    https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-021-0957-y
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Evaluation of ecological capability and land use planning for different uses of land with a new model of EMOLUP in Jahrom County, Iran
Parviz JOKAR, Masoud MASOUDI()
Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering, School of Agriculture, Shiraz University, Shiraz 7144113131, Iran
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Abstract

Land use planning is one of the basic principles of sustainable development in a region and in a country. The main objective of this paper is to test a new model of land use planning in order to evaluate ecological suitability and prioritize different land uses in Jahrom County placed in Fars Province, Iran. Hence two main steps were prepared for the new model of Eco-Socio-economic Model of Land Use Planning (EMOLUP). Step 1 includes ecological capability evaluation of different land uses including forest, rangeland, agriculture, conservation, and development. This step is composed of the geometric mean method instead of the Boolean method; and step 2 includes land use planning and prioritizing for the various uses mentioned above. This step is composed of intersecting ecological capability maps and land use planning, based on two scenarios (economic and social). It was compared with qualitative and current quantitative methods. Also, current land use is employed for calibrating and modifying the models. The results of ecological suitability evaluation showed that the EMOLUP model has more accuracy in the process of comparison than other current methods. Accordingly, revised method using the geometric mean (with overall accuracy > 72 and kappa index > 0.55 for all land uses and rangeland with overall accuracy = 32 and kappa index = 0.02) is better than Boolean models, and the method of the calibrated geometric mean (with overall accuracy > 87 and kappa index > 0.73 for all land uses) is the best among different used models. It should be noted that the arithmetic mean has the lowest accuracy (with overall accuracy < 45 and kappa index < 0.24 for all land uses). Also, the results of prioritizing and land use planning showed that the quantitative method with two socio-economic scenarios (result based on average of EPM erosion model = 0.3 that means 30% of modification in whole study area land uses) is the best method for land use planning in the study area.

Keywords EMOLUP Model      geomean      Boolean      prioritizing      land use      capability     
Corresponding Author(s): Masoud MASOUDI   
Online First Date: 02 November 2022    Issue Date: 04 August 2023
 Cite this article:   
Parviz JOKAR,Masoud MASOUDI. Evaluation of ecological capability and land use planning for different uses of land with a new model of EMOLUP in Jahrom County, Iran[J]. Front. Earth Sci., 2023, 17(2): 561-575.
 URL:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fesci/EN/10.1007/s11707-021-0957-y
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fesci/EN/Y2023/V17/I2/561
Fig.1  Location of the study area in Iran.
(a)
CriteriaParameterIrrigated farmingRainfed farmingForestRangelandClass
TopographySlope/%0?8 1)0?50?350?151
8?155?1535?5515?252
15?3015?2555?6525?403
> 30> 25> 65> 40 (in mountains)4
Elevation/mor Land typePlainPlain0?1000?1
??1000?18002
HillHill1800?26003
MountainMountain> 26004
ClimateDroughtSlightSlight?Slight1
ModerateModerateModerate2
Severe & very severeSevere & very severeSevere & very severe3
???4
Rain/mm?> 400> 800> 4001
200?400500?800200?4002
50?200200?50050?2003
< 50< 200< 504
Temperature/°C??18 ? 21?1
< 18, 21.1?302
> 303
?4
Current state of climateSemi-arid to Humid???1
Arid2
Very arid3
?4
SoilTextureHeavy, moderate, lightHeavy, moderate, lightHeavy, moderate, lightHeavy, moderate, light1
CoarseCoarseCoarse, very coarseCoarse2
Very coarseVery coarse?Very coarse3
????4
Depth/cmDeep (> 80)Deep (> 80)Deep (> 80)Semi deep to deep (> 50)1
Semi deep (50?80)Semi deep (50?80)Semi deep (50?80)Shallow (25?50)2
Shallow (25?50)Shallow (25?50)Shallow to very shallow (< 50)Very shallow(< 25)3
Very shallow to no soil (0?25)Very shallow to no soil (0?25)No soil (0)No soil (0)4
pH6.1?8.5≤ 8.54.2?7≤ 91
4.2?6, 8.5?98.5?97.1?8.5?2
9?9.59?9.58.6?10> 93
> 9.5> 9.5> 10?4
Gravel percent0?350?35≥ 150?351
35?7535?7516?5035?752
> 75?> 51> 753
?> 75??4
Tab.1  The indicators used in the model of land evaluation of EMOLUP (Masoudi, 2018) for agriculture and natural resources or four classes’ models (a) and for development and ecotourism or three classes’ models (b) and conservation Use (c)
(a)(Continued)
CriteriaParameterIrrigated farmingRainfed farmingForestRangelandClass
SoilDrainage/(cm·hr?1)Good to moderate (0.1?25)Good to moderate (0.1?25)Good to moderate (0.1?25)Good to moderate (0.1?25)1
Poor (< 0.1, > 25)Poor (< 0.1, > 25)Poor (< 0.1, > 25)Poor (< 0.1, > 25)2
????3
????4
ErosionNone, slightNone, slightNone, slightNone, slight1
ModerateModerateModerateModerate2
SevereSevereSevere, very severeSevere, very severe3
Very severeVery severe??4
GranulatingFine to ModerateFine to ModerateFineFine to Moderate1
CoarseCoarseModerateCoarse2
??Coarse?3
????4
Evolution (Structure)Perfect (granular)?Perfect (granular)?1
ModerateModerate2
LowLow3
None (no structure)None (no structure)4
Salinity (EC in ds/m)< 8< 8?< 81
8?168?168?182
16?3216?3218 <3
> 32> 32?4
ESP< 15< 15?< 151
15?3015?3015?302
30?5030?50> 303
> 50> 50?4
Fertility (organic matter %)Good (> 1.5)Good to Moderate (> 1)Good (> 1.5)Good to Moderate (> 1)1
Moderate (1?1.5)Low (1)Moderate (1?1.5)Low (1)2
Low to Very low (< 1)Very low (< 1)Low (1)Very low (< 1)3
??Very low (< 1)?4
GeologyGeology??Limestone and dolomite, Intermediate pyroclastic rocks of Eocene, shale, clay stone, conglomerate and marl type 1, ophiolite of melange color, floodplain?1
Granite, sandstone, loess, schist and gneiss and amphibolite2
Marl Type 2, alluvial fans, alluvial terraces, sand dunes, continental shelf sediments3
Salt domes, gypsum dome, calcite and dolomite marble, quartzite4
  
(a)(Continued)
CriteriaParameterIrrigated farmingRainfed farmingForestRangelandClass
VegetationCanopy cover/%??75?100≥ 501
25?7425?502
< 255?253
?< 54
Wood value2)??Wood with grade1?1
Wood with grade 22
Wood with grade 33
None commercial4
Vegetation type??Forest lands?1
?2
Rangelands3
Poor rangelands (canopy cover < 25%), Desert4
Annual growth /m3 3)??> 5?1
2.1?52
< 23
?4
Dry forage/(kg·ha?1)???> 5001
350?5002
< 3503
?4
WaterQuantity of water /(m3·year?1)> 30004)???1
1500?30002
< 15003
Without water resources4
Lowering of water table/(cm·y?1)0?20???1
20?302
> 303
?4
EC/(μmhos·cm?1)0?750???1
750?22502
> 22503
?4
SAR0?18???1
18?262
> 263
?4
  
(b)
CriteriaParameterDevelopmentEcotourismClass1)
TopographySlope/%0?150?151
15?3015?302
> 30> 303
Land typePlains except of flood plains?1
Plateau & upper terraces, alluvial-colluvial fans2
Mountains, hills, flood Plains3
ClimateRain/mm501?800?1
51?500, > 8002
< 503
Temperature2)/°C18.1?2421?241
24.1?30, < 1818?21, 24?302
> 30> 30, < 183
Number of sunny days (in spring and summer months)?> 151
7?152
< 73
Relative humid/%40.1?70?1
< 40, 70?802
> 803
Wind speed/(km·h?1)1?35?1
36?602
> 603
SoilTextureModerate (often)Usually moderate1
Light (often)Coarse, light, heavy2
Heavy (often), Regosols, lithosolsVery heavy3
DepthDeepDeep1
Semi deepSemi deep2
Shallow to very shallowShallow to very shallow3
Gravel percent0?25?1
26?502
> 503
Drainage/(cm·hr?1)Good (2?6)Good (2?6)1
Moderate (0.1?2, 6?25)moderate to poor (0.1?2, 6?25)2
Poor (< 0.1, > 25)Incomplete (< 0.1, > 25)3
ErosionNone, slight?1
Moderate2
Severe, very severe3
GranulatingModerate?1
Fine, coarse2
Very fine3
Evolution (structure)Perfect (granular)Perfect (granular)1
ModerateModerate2
LowLow3
  
(b)(Continued)
CriteriaParameterDevelopmentEcotourismClass1)
SoilFertility (organic matter %)?Good, moderate (> 1)1
Low (1)2
Very low (< 1)3
GeologyLithologySandstone, ophiolite of melange color, sedimentsof continental shelfPyroclastic rocks, granite ophiolite of melange color, sand dunes, continental shelf sediments1
Limestone and dolomite, intermediate pyroclastic rocks of Eocene, granite, alluvial fans, shale, clay stone, conglomerate, loess, alluvial terracesLimestone and dolomite, sandstone, loess, schist and gneiss and amphibolite, quartzite, alluvial fans, flood plain2
Marl, schist and gneiss and amphibolite, sand dunes, salt domes, gypsum dome, calcite and dolomite marble, quartzite, floodplain, Buffer3)(Fault, River)Marl, shale, clay Stone, conglomerate, salt domes, gypsum dome, calcite and dolomite marble3
VegetationCanopy cover/%0?25Forest lands with canopy cover of 50?80%1
26?50Forest lands with canopy cover of 5?50%2
> 50Poor rangelands, forest lands with canopy cover > 80%, Desert3
WaterQuantity of water for everyone /(Lit·day?1)> 225> 401
150?22512?39.92
< 150< 123
ConservationProtected area?Forest park of natural and planted, nature park, national park, protected area, biosphere Reserve, World Heritage, historical artifacts and national and pilgrimage1
?2
Reserve forest, wildlife Sanctuary, national natural monuments3
  
(c)
ParameterDescriptionClass
Value of species (Mammals)Cheetah, zebra, fallow deer, ibex, chamois, panther, gazelle, chinkara, wild goat, ovis, wolf, sable, wild cats, bearSuitable
Fox, badger, hyena, weasel, pig, porcupine, squirrel, jackal, pika, hedgehog, bat, rabbit, rodentsNone suitable
Species biodiversity≥ 5Suitable
< 5None suitable
Sensitive habitatsMangroves, estuaries, pondsSuitable
OtherNone suitable
Protected areaReserve forest, forest park of natural and planted, national park, nature park, protected area, biosphere reserve, wildlife refuges, national natural monumentsSuitable
OtherNone suitable
  
(a)
Suitability classes
Their scoreGood (1)Moderate (2)Poor (3)Not suitable (4)
2.5?31.5?2.50.5?1.5< 0.5
Tab.2  Suitability classes in capability maps and models for 4 classes’ uses (a) and models for 3 classes’ uses (b) regarding the scores ranges of polygons in the model of EMOLUP (Masoudi, 2018)
(b)
Suitability classes
Their scoreGood (1)Moderate (2)Poor and Not suitable (3)
1.5?20.5?1.5< 0.5
  
(a)
Scenario1Rangeland >Forest >Agriculture >Conservation >Development
Scenario2Conservation >Rangeland >Forest >Agriculture >Development
Scenario3Development >Agriculture >Rangeland >Conservation >Forest
Scenario4Development >Agriculture >Conservation >Rangeland >Forest
Weighted values109876
Tab.3  Example of scenarios designed for the study area (a) and Relative values (0?10) assigned to different land uses according to capability classes of the land with taking into consideration of different scenarios (b)
(b)
Capability classRangelandForestAgricultureConservationDevelopment
13212
Scenario
1107775
2966105
384879
474889
Sum3421293230
Priority15423
  
(a)
OrderLand useDescription
1F1, F2Current dense and semi dense forest (capability classes of 1 and 2 in optimized use)
2IF, DF with suitable capability(classes of 1, 2)Irrigated and dry farming with suitable capability (classes of 1 and 2)
3F3, R1Current sparse forest (capability class of 3 in optimized use), current dense range (capability class of 1 in optimized use)
4R2Current semi dense range (capability class of 2 in optimized use)
5IF, DF with none suitablecapability (3, 4) and R3Irrigated and dry farming with weak to none suitable capability (classes of 3 and 4) and current sparse range (capability class of 3 in optimized use)
6DESERT (BL, SL)Barren and saline lands
ExamplesExamples code
R2 (current) to F2 (optimized)A
F2 (current) to R1 (optimized)B
F (current) to F (optimized)C
IF (current) to IF (capability 1)D
Tab.4  Validation of the models by EPM model to compare with current land use (a) and validation of the models by comparing with current land use and development (b)
(b)
Current land useOptimized useScoreReason and description
DevelopmentEvery use (e.g., range)?1Socio-economic conditions
DevelopmentDevelopment0No change
Every useDevelopment?1 to + 1Based on capability degree of both uses
  
Land usesIndexModel
BooleanAverage
EcologicalMax limitArithmeticGeometricCalibrated
Irrigated farmingOverall accuracy7068387387
Kappa coefficient0.560.5200.550.79
Inclass coefficient0.850.430.611.433.8
Rainfed farmingOverall accuracy9188458588
Kappa coefficient0.810.7500.710.76
Inclass coefficient3.882.730.832.593.04
RangelandOverall accuracy7073303287
Kappa coefficient00.1300.020.73
Inclass coefficient00.10.420.442.29
ForestOverall accuracy5474227294
Kappa coefficient0.060.5800.550.9
Inclass coefficient000.320.8211.31
Development (urban and industry)Overall accuracy5454428687
Kappa coefficient0.320.320.240.750.77
Inclass coefficient003.934.364.56
Tab.5  Overall Accuracy, Inclass and Kappa coefficients in the used models
Fig.2  Ecological capability maps prepared with best accuracy (a) and percent of land under different capability classes for different methods of every use (b).
IndexModel
BasicModified
QualitativeQuantitative
4 scenarios2 scenarios
EPM (Average)0.10.040.170.230.30
Tab.6  Validation of land use planning methods
Fig.3  Final map of land use planning by two scenarios.
Land useCurrent land use/%Optimized land use
Forest18.642.26 (FC2)
6.52 (FRC2)
8.32 (FR)
0.38 (FE)
Rangeland66.1145.85 (R)
9.03 (RC2)
Irrigated farming12.9512.26
Rainfed farming0.672.9
Development0.5710.63
Desert0.14?
Conservation0.930.93 (C1)
Water body0.920.92
Sum100100
Tab.7  Percent area of current and optimized land uses
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