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Frontiers in Energy

ISSN 2095-1701

ISSN 2095-1698(Online)

CN 11-6017/TK

Postal Subscription Code 80-972

2018 Impact Factor: 1.701

Front Energ    0, Vol. Issue () : 366-378    https://doi.org/10.1007/s11708-012-0205-y
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Techno-economic evaluation of wind energy in southwest Nigeria
Muyiwa S. ADARAMOLA1, Olarenwaju M. OYEWOLA2, Olayinka S. OHUNAKIN3(), Rufus R. DINRIFO4
1. Department of Energy and Process Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim 7030, Norway; 2. Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Ibadan, Oyo State 23402, Nigeria; 3. Mechanical Engineering Department, Covenant University, Ogun State 11001, Nigeria; 4. School of Engineering, Lagos State Polytechnic, Lagos 23401, Nigeria
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Abstract

In this study, an analysis of the wind energy potential in the southwest geo-political region of Nigeria was conducted. A 37-year (1971–2007) wind speed data set measured at 10 m height, obtained from eight meteorological stations within the region was analyzed using a 2-parameter Weibull function. Besides, a techno-economic evaluation of large wind energy conversion systems with power ratings ranging from 0.6 to 2 MW at different hub heights based on the levelized unit cost of electricity was made for the different sites considered. The result showed that electricity cost varied from 0.06997 and 0.11195 $/(kW·h) to 2.86611 and 4.58578 $/(kW·h) at limit values of turbine specific cost band intervals of 1000 and 1600 $/kW. It was further shown that Lagos, having the highest accumulated power outputs of 430.10 kW/a from DeWind D7 at 70 m hub height, is the most preferred for economically usable power generation in terms of the levelized unit cost.

Keywords mean wind speed      Weibull distributions      wind turbine      techno-economic analysis      southwest geopolitical region      Nigeria     
Corresponding Author(s): OHUNAKIN Olayinka S.,Email:olayinka.ohunakin@covenantuniversity.edu.ng   
Issue Date: 05 December 2012
 Cite this article:   
Muyiwa S. ADARAMOLA,Olayinka S. OHUNAKIN,Rufus R. DINRIFO, et al. Techno-economic evaluation of wind energy in southwest Nigeria[J]. Front Energ, 0, (): 366-378.
 URL:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fie/EN/10.1007/s11708-012-0205-y
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fie/EN/Y0/V/I/366
Wind turbine size/kWSpecific cost/($·kW1)
10-202200-2900
20-2001500-2300
>2001000-1600
Tab.1  Cost of wind turbines based on rated power []
LagosIbadanIjebu-OdeIkeja
vmvmpvmaxEvmvmpvmaxEvmvmpvmaxEvmvmpvmaxE
Jan4.164.185.303.643.724.493.473.584.204.174.275.12
Feb4.934.906.384.164.265.114.434.605.224.544.685.48
Mar5.365.356.924.644.705.814.534.725.215.135.266.27
Apr5.715.996.424.624.805.424.294.474.985.175.386.07
May5.065.236.104.094.145.133.803.944.554.304.445.20
Jun4.864.956.034.194.364.893.783.914.504.444.515.56
Jul4.975.046.244.945.095.974.014.104.935.335.516.38
Aug5.605.786.764.964.996.314.054.035.255.515.676.67
Sept5.055.265.864.544.675.503.683.664.784.724.825.82
Oct4.844.975.883.513.634.212.802.773.673.974.124.71
Nov4.674.945.552.973.083.532.592.653.163.533.604.37
Dec3.963.955.103.103.223.643.053.043.943.863.914.84
Annual4.935.056.044.114.225.003.713.794.534.564.685.54
Rainy season5.125.276.194.274.395.203.733.804.564.684.815.67
Dry season4.354.345.593.633.734.423.653.744.454.194.295.15
AbeokutaOshogboOndoAkure
vmvmpvmaxEvmvmpvmaxEvmvmpvmaxEvmvmpvmaxE
Jan2.532.642.952.962.754.171.860.444.492.762.883.09
Feb2.923.033.433.513.644.162.231.823.503.363.234.57
Mar2.862.983.284.134.314.762.592.164.023.944.104.59
Apr2.582.453.543.934.104.592.262.153.123.513.673.86
May2.562.672.913.363.484.002.041.872.902.983.063.08
Jun2.392.502.733.503.654.062.041.902.883.113.233.32
Jul2.472.523.043.934.114.462.602.453.613.523.674.10
Aug2.442.532.874.004.154.722.852.843.673.413.573.85
Sept2.352.462.693.133.233.752.332.153.293.523.693.91
Oct2.332.432.702.482.543.041.881.353.203.123.263.60
Nov2.332.422.752.041.922.821.320.422.982.742.833.27
Dec2.402.472.922.222.093.081.490.503.353.193.014.43
Annual2.512.592.983.273.333.972.121.673.423.263.353.81
Rainy season2.482.552.943.393.504.022.211.923.303.323.453.73
Dry season2.622.713.102.902.833.801.900.923.783.103.044.03
Tab.2  Monthly and seasonal variations of wind characteristics in all locations at height 10 m
Fig.1  Monthly variation of mean wind speeds for the selected locations
Fig.2  Monthly variations of wind speeds at two synoptical hours of 9:00 and 15:00 for (a)Lagos; (b) Ibadan; (c) Ijebu-Ode; (d) Ikeja; (e) Ondo; (f) Abeokuta; (g) Oshogbo; and (h) Akure
LagosIbadanIjebu-OdeIkeja
kcδkcδkcδkcδ
Jan3.414.631.353.844.021.064.163.820.933.904.601.19
Feb3.245.501.673.894.601.194.724.841.064.184.991.22
Mar3.285.981.803.615.141.425.384.910.963.975.661.44
Apr6.246.141.064.795.041.095.114.670.964.815.651.22
May4.255.571.343.594.541.264.394.170.974.194.731.15
Jun3.745.381.444.934.570.964.484.140.953.634.931.36
Jul3.615.521.534.195.431.323.884.431.154.365.851.37
Aug4.216.161.493.425.521.603.234.521.384.146.061.49
Sept5.105.491.134.125.001.233.214.111.263.845.221.37
Oct4.075.331.334.333.860.913.133.130.984.544.350.99
Nov4.525.121.164.483.250.753.972.860.733.773.901.04
Dec3.284.411.324.773.390.743.273.401.023.614.281.18
AbeokutaOshogboOndoAkure
kcδkCδkcδkcδ
Jan4.992.800.582.573.331.241.201.981.576.432.960.50
Feb4.753.190.704.593.840.862.062.511.152.813.781.30
Mar5.463.100.605.334.480.892.112.931.305.024.290.89
Apr2.742.901.024.974.280.902.722.540.907.403.740.56
May5.702.760.524.513.680.842.502.290.8818.803.070.20
Jun5.572.590.495.163.810.772.572.300.8610.383.270.36
Jul3.862.730.715.874.240.772.652.931.064.983.830.80
Aug4.772.660.584.664.370.973.293.170.956.093.670.65
Sept5.642.540.484.323.440.812.542.620.996.893.770.60
Oct5.172.530.513.922.730.701.802.111.095.313.390.67
Nov4.732.550.562.672.290.821.271.421.054.423.000.70
Dec4.042.650.662.662.490.901.281.611.182.673.591.29
Tab.3  Monthly variations of Weibull shape and scale parameters together with standard deviation (, and
LagosIbadanIjebu-OdeIkeja
Power density/(W·m-2)Monthly energy/(kW·h·m-2)Power density/(W·m-2)Monthly energy/(kW·h·m-2)Power density/(W·m-2)Monthly energy/(kW·h·m-2)Power density/(W·m-2)Monthly energy/(kW·h·m-2)
Jan57.3342.6536.5427.1930.8122.9254.4940.54
Feb97.6165.5954.3336.5161.5941.3968.7146.18
Mar127.3093.2277.4157.5263.6447.35100.9775.12
Apr123.8789.1969.4750.0254.8739.5097.5870.26
May95.0670.7353.1139.5139.8229.6358.5443.55
Jun87.6763.1151.5237.1038.7927.9367.8948.88
Jul95.5771.1188.5565.8848.5536.12109.9281.78
Aug129.0996.0496.1572.1254.3740.44123.2291.68
Sept89.3464.3269.1249.7740.9729.5079.6857.37
Oct83.9162.4331.5623.4818.2813.6044.9133.41
Nov73.0052.5618.8413.5612.969.3333.4524.09
Dec50.2037.3521.0615.6723.0717.1644.6733.23
Annual92.50808.3055.64488.3340.64354.8873.67646.08
Rainy season100.54880.7361.75540.9341.36362.3179.58697.12
Dry season68.38599.0137.32326.9238.49337.1755.96490.21
AbeokutaOshogboOndoAkure
Power density/(W·m-2)Monthly energy/(kW·h·m-2)Power density/(W·m-2)Monthly energy/(kW·h·m-2)Power density/(W·m-2)Monthly energy/(kW·h·m-2)Power density/(W·m-2)Monthly energy/(kW·h·m-2)
Jan11.368.4524.2518.0415.5911.6013.8910.33
Feb17.6011.8330.9220.7812.418.3433.6122.59
Mar15.9611.8848.5536.1219.1614.2642.6831.75
Apr15.3411.0542.5330.6210.437.5128.0620.20
May11.348.4427.3020.318.055.9916.2112.06
Jun9.316.7029.7821.447.955.7318.9513.65
Jul11.358.4541.0030.5116.0911.9730.4922.68
Aug10.257.6245.5533.8918.6813.9026.6019.79
Sept8.856.3722.3016.0611.898.5628.7320.68
Oct8.756.5111.418.498.586.3920.9115.55
Nov9.006.487.685.534.913.5414.7910.65
Dec10.297.669.967.417.055.2429.6522.06
Annual11.62101.4228.44249.2011.73103.0125.38222.01
Rainy season11.1397.5030.68268.7611.75102.9325.27221.37
Dry season13.09114.6721.71190.1811.69102.4025.72225.31
Tab.4  Monthly and seasonal variations of mean power density and energy for all locations at height 10 m
CharacteristicsDe wind 48De wind D6De wind D7De wind D8
Hub height/m40657080
Rated power Pr/kW600125015002000
Sweep area/m21808301938465027
Cut-in wind speed vc/(m·s-1)2.52.833
Rated wind speed vr/(m·s-1)11.512.51213.5
Cut-off wind speed vf/(m·s-1)25252525
Tab.5  Characteristics of selected wind turbines
DeWind 48DeWindD6
Pe,ave/kWAnnual Eout/(MW·h)Cf/%Pe,ave/kWAnnual Eout/(MW·h)Cf/%
Lagos110.46967.6318.41277.922434.5822.23
Ibadan67.93595.0711.32172.381510.0513.79
Ijebu-ode48.08421.188.01123.171078.979.85
Ikeja86.46757.3914.41219.211920.2817.54
Abeokuta4.2136.880.7011.97104.860.96
Oshogbo37.02324.306.1795.11833.167.61
Ondo37.41327.716.2396.10841.847.69
Akure13.01113.972.1735.63312.122.85
DeWind D7DeWind D8
Pe,ave/kWAnnual Eout/(MW·h)Cf/%Pe,ave/kWAnnual Eout/(MW·h)Cf/%
Lagos430.103767.6828.67412.833616.3920.64
Ibadan267.152340.2317.81258.642265.6912.93
Ijebu-ode191.231675.1712.75185.711626.829.29
Ikeja342.152997.2322.81326.472859.8816.32
Abeokuta19.98175.021.3318.18159.260.91
Oshogbo145.291272.749.69144.831268.717.24
Ondo131.501151.948.77153.311343.007.67
Akure59.69522.883.9853.16465.682.66
Tab.6  Accumulated annual power and energy outputs together with capacity factor of selected wind turbines for locations at respective hub heights
DeWind 48DeWindD6
1000 $/(kW·h)1600 $/(kW·h)1000 $/(kW·h)1600 $/(kW·h)
Lagos0.108980.174360.090240.14438
Ibadan0.177230.283570.145490.23278
Ijebu-ode0.250470.400750.203680.32589
Ikeja0.139230.222770.114410.18305
Abeokuta2.866114.585782.089873.34380
Oshogbo0.325170.520270.263640.42182
Ondo0.322040.515260.260890.41743
Akure0.924551.479280.703961.12633
DeWind D7DeWind D8
1000 $/(kW·h)1600 $/(kW·h)1000 $/(kW·h)1600 $/(kW·h)
Lagos0.069970.111950.097200.15552
Ibadan0.112650.180240.155160.24826
Ijebu-ode0.157360.251770.215960.34554
Ikeja0.087950.140730.122910.19665
Abeokuta1.508482.413572.204703.52752
Oshogbo0.207050.331270.277110.44338
Ondo0.228770.366030.261570.41852
Akure0.504090.806540.754241.20678
Tab.7  Cost analysis per kWh for WECS in selected locations
Fig.3  Effect of operating and maintenance escalation rate on LCOE for selected wind turbines in Lagos site (a) Specific unit cost turbine= 1000$/kW; (b) Specific unit cost turbine= 1600$/kW
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