Generating capacity adequacy evaluation of large-scale, grid-connected photovoltaic systems

doi:10.1007/s11708-016-0415-9

Front. Energy

2016, Vol. 10

Issue (3) : 308-318 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11708-016-0415-9

RESEARCH ARTICLE

Generating capacity adequacy evaluation of large-scale, grid-connected photovoltaic systems

Amir AHADI(

),Seyed Mohsen MIRYOUSEFI AVAL,Hosein HAYATI

Young Researchers and Elite Club, Ardabil Branch, Islamic Azad University, Ardabil 5615731567, Iran

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Abstract

Large-scale, grid-connected photovoltaic systems have become an essential part of modern electric power distribution systems. In this paper, a novel approach based on the Markov method has been proposed to investigate the effects of large-scale, grid-connected photovoltaic systems on the reliability of bulk power systems. The proposed method serves as an applicable tool to estimate performance (e.g., energy yield and capacity) as well as reliability indices. The Markov method framework has been incorporated with the multi-state models to develop energy states of the photovoltaic systems in order to quantify the effects of the photovoltaic systems on the power system adequacy. Such analysis assists planners to make adequate decisions based on the economical expectations as well as to ensure the recovery of the investment costs over time. The failure states of the components of photovoltaic systems have been considered to evaluate the sensitivity analysis and the adequacy indices including loss of load expectation, and expected energy not supplied. Moreover, the impacts of transitions between failures on the reliability calculations as well as on the long- term operation of the photovoltaic systems have been illustrated. Simulation results on the Roy Billinton test system has been shown to illustrate the procedure of the proposed frame work and evaluate the reliability benefits of using large-scale, grid-connected photovoltaic system on the bulk electric power systems. The proposed method can be easily extended to estimate the operating and maintenance costs for the financial planning of the photovoltaic system projects.

Keywords adequacy assessment Markov method large-scale grid-connected photovoltaic(PV) systems long-term operation

Corresponding Author(s): Amir AHADI

Just Accepted Date: 12 May 2016 Online First Date: 15 July 2016 Issue Date: 07 September 2016

Cite this article:

Amir AHADI,Seyed Mohsen MIRYOUSEFI AVAL,Hosein HAYATI. Generating capacity adequacy evaluation of large-scale, grid-connected photovoltaic systems[J]. Front. Energy, 2016, 10(3): 308-318.

URL:

https://academic.hep.com.cn/fie/EN/10.1007/s11708-016-0415-9
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fie/EN/Y2016/V10/I3/308

Tab.1 Component failure rates

Fig.1 Electrical structure of large-scale, grid-connected PV systems

Fig.2 Overall system configuration incorporating PV system

Fig.3 Transition diagram of three states model

Fig.4 Markov model for a plant including

(a) One PV system; (b) two different PV systems

Fig.5 Example of stochastic process in Markov chain

Fig.6 Single line diagram of RBTS

Fig.7 The system load model

Tab.2 Generating unit reliability data for RBTS

Fig.8 Adequacy indices versus PV system total capacity

Fig.9 Reliability indices for RBTS by adding the PV system and the conventional generator

Tab.3 Variation in the system LOLE (h/a) considering different values of FOR of PV systems

Tab.4 Variation in the system EENS (MWh/a) considering different values of FOR of PV systems

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