Jack up reliability analysis: An overview

doi:10.1007/s11709-017-0443-5

Front. Struct. Civ. Eng.

2018, Vol. 12

Issue (4) : 504-514 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11709-017-0443-5

REVIEW

Jack up reliability analysis: An overview

Ahmad IDRIS(

), Indra Sati Hamonangan HARAHAP, Montasir Osman Ahmed ALI

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Universiti Teknologi Petronas, Bandar Seri Iskandar, 32610, Malaysia

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Abstract

Jack up is a mobile unit used for oil and gas exploration and production in offshore fields. On demand, the unit is moved and installed in a given location and used for a period up to 12 months before being un-installed and moved to another location. Due to its mobility and re-usability, when the unit is offered for use in a given offshore location, its suitability in terms of safe operation is evaluated in accordance with the guidelines of Site Specific Assessment (SSA) of jack up. When the unit failed safety assessment criteria, the guideline recommended that it is re-assessed by increasing the complexity of the assumptions and methods used. Reliability analysis theories are one of the frameworks recommended for the safety assessment of the units. With recent developments in uncertainty and reliability analysis of structures subject to stochastic excitation, this study aims at providing a review on the past developments in jack up reliability analysis and to identify possible future directions. The results from literature reviewed shows that failure probabilities vary significantly with analysis method used. In addition, from the variants of reliability analysis approach, the method of time dependent reliability for dynamic structures subject to stochastic excitation have not been implemented on jack ups. Consequently, suggestions were made on the areas that need further examination for improvement of the efficiency in safety assessment of the units using reliability theories.

Keywords jack up reliability analysis uncertainty analysis review of jack up

Corresponding Author(s): Ahmad IDRIS

Online First Date: 20 November 2017 Issue Date: 20 November 2018

Cite this article:

Ahmad IDRIS,Indra Sati Hamonangan HARAHAP,Montasir Osman Ahmed ALI. Jack up reliability analysis: An overview[J]. Front. Struct. Civ. Eng., 2018, 12(4): 504-514.

URL:

https://academic.hep.com.cn/fsce/EN/10.1007/s11709-017-0443-5
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fsce/EN/Y2018/V12/I4/504

Fig.1 Density functions of Limit state function

Fig.2 Limit state function on a normal z-space

Fig.3 Trajectory of time dependent limit state

Fig.4 Rate of decay of eigenvalues

Fig.5 Surface elevation profile at origin

Fig.6 Results of reliability analysis of jack up from different literature

Tab.1 The number of publications on jack up reliability by decade.

Fig.7 Variants of reliability analysis and the number of applications in jack up

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