1. Department of Environmental Engineering, Hebei University of Engineering, Handan 056038, China 2. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996, USA 3. Department of Environmental Science, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China 4. State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
The aerosol direct effects result in a 3%–9% increase in PM2.5 concentrations over Southern Hebei.
These impacts are substantially different under different PM2.5 loadings.
Industrial and domestic contributions will be underestimated if ignoring the feedbacks.
Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area is the most air polluted region in China and the three neighborhood southern Hebei cities, Shijiazhuang, Xingtai, and Handan, are listed in the top ten polluted cities with severe PM2.5 pollution. The objective of this paper is to evaluate the impacts of aerosol direct effects on air quality over the southern Hebei cities, as well as the impacts when considering those effects on source apportionment using three dimensional air quality models. The WRF/Chem model was applied over the East Asia and northern China at 36 and 12 km horizontal grid resolutions, respectively, for the period of January 2013, with two sets of simulations with or without aerosol-meteorology feedbacks. The source contributions of power plants, industrial, domestic, transportation, and agriculture are evaluated using the Brute-Force Method (BFM) under the two simulation configurations. Our results indicate that, although the increases in PM2.5 concentrations due to those effects over the three southern Hebei cities are only 3%–9% on montly average, they are much more significant under high PM2.5 loadings (~50 μg·m−3 when PM2.5 concentrations are higher than 400 μg m−3). When considering the aerosol feedbacks, the contributions of industrial and domestic sources assessed using the BFM will obviously increase (e.g., from 30%–34% to 32%–37% for industrial), especially under high PM2.5 loadings (e.g., from 36%–44% to 43%–47% for domestic when PM2.5>400 μg·m−3). Our results imply that the aerosol direct effects should not be ignored during severe pollution episodes, especially in short-term source apportionment using the BFM.
MEP. China National Ambient Air Quality Standards, GB3095–2012. Beijing: MEP, 2012 (in Chinese)
2
MEP. 2014 Report on the State of the Environment in China. Beijing: MEP, 2015 (in Chinese)
3
MEP. 2015 Report on the State of the Environment in China. Beijing: MEP, 2016 (in Chinese)
4
MEP. 2013 Report on the State of the Environment in China. Beijing: MEP, 2014
5
Wang L T, Wei Z, Yang J, Zhang Y, Zhang F F, Su J, Meng C C, Zhang Q. The 2013 severe haze over southern Hebei, China: Model evaluation, source apportionment, and policy implications. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2014, 14(6): 3151–3173 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-3151-2014
6
Wang L T, Xu J, Yang J, Zhao X J, Wei W, Cheng D D, Pan X M, Su J. Understanding haze pollution over the southern Hebei area of China using the CMAQ model. Atmospheric Environment, 2012, 56: 69–79 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2012.04.013
7
Wang L T, Wei Z, Wei W, Fu J S, Meng C C, Ma S M. Source Apportionment of PM2.5 in Top Polluted Cities in Hebei, China Using the CMAQ Model. Atmospheric Environment, 2015, 122: 723–736 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2015.10.041
8
Wei Z, Yang J, Wang L T, Wei W, Zhang F F, Su J. Characteristics of the severe haze episode in Handan city in January, 2013. Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae, 2014, 34(5): 1118–1124 (in Chinese)
9
Li X, Zhang Q, Zhang Y, Zheng B, Wang K, Chen Y, Wallington T J, Han W J, Shen W, Zhang X Y, He K B. Source contributions of urban PM2.5 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region: Changes between 2006 and 2013 and relative impacts of emissions and meteorology. Atmospheric Environment, 2015, 123: 229–239 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2015.10.048
10
Cui H Y, Chen W H, Dai W, Liu H, Wang X M, He K. Source apportionment of PM2.5 in Guangzhou combining observation data analysis and chemical transport model simulation. Atmospheric Environment, 2015, 116: 262–271 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2015.06.054
11
Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt K B, Tignor M, Miller H L. Climate change 2007: The physical science basis, contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007
Zhang Y. Online coupled meteorology and chemistry models: history, current status, and outlook. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2008, 8(11): 2895–2932 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-8-2895-2008
14
Zhang Y, Wen X Y, Jang C. Simulating chemistry-aerosol-cloud-radiation-climate feedbacks over the continental U.S. using the online-coupled Weather Research Forecasting Model with chemistry (WRF/Chem). Atmospheric Environment, 2010, 44(29): 3568–3582 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.05.056
15
José R S, Pérez J L, Balzarini A, Baró R, Curci G, Forkel R, Galmarini S, Grell G A, Hirtl M, Honzak L, Im U, Jimenez-Guerrero P, Langer M, Pirovano G, Tuccella P, Werhahn J, Žabkar R. Sensitivity of feedback effects in CBMZ/MOSAIC chemical mechanism. Atmospheric Environment, 2015, 115: 646–656 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2015.04.030
16
Wang K, Zhang Y, Yahya H, Wu S Y, Grell G A. Implementation and initial application of new chemistry-aerosol options in WRF/Chem for simulating secondary organic aerosols and aerosol indirect effects for regional air quality. Atmospheric Environment, 2015, 115: 716–632 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.12.007
17
Gao M, Carmichael G R, Saide P E, Lu Z F, Yu M, Streets D G, Wang Z F. Response of winter fine particulate matter concentrations to emission and meteorology changes in North China. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2016, 16(18): 11837–11851 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-11837-2016
18
Gao M, Carmichael G R, Wang Y S, Saide P E, Yu M, Xin J Y, Liu Z, Wang Z F. Modeling study of the 2010 regional haze event in the North China Plain. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2016, 16(3): 1673–1691 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-1673-2016
19
Wang J D, Wang S X, Jiang J K, Ding A J, Zheng M, Zhao B, Wong D C, Zhou W, Zheng G J, Wang L, Pleim J E, Hao J M. Impact of aerosol–meteorology interactions on fine particle pollution during China’s severe haze episode in January 2013. Environmental Research Letters, 2014, 9(9): 094002 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/9/094002
20
Gao Y, Zhang M, Liu Z, Wang L, Wang P, Xia X G, Tao M, Zhu L. Modeling the feedback between aerosol and meteorological variables in the atmospheric boundary layer during a severe fog–haze event over the North China Plain. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2015, 15(8): 4279–4295 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-4279-2015
21
Gao M, Carmichael G R, Wang Y S, Wang Z F, Ji D S, Liu Z R, Wang Z F. Improving simulations of sulfate aerosols during winter haze over Northern China: The impacts of heterogeneous oxidation by NO2. Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering, 2016, 10(5): 1–11 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11783-014-0715-4
22
Zhang B, Wang Y X, Hao J M. Simulating aerosol–radiation–cloud feedbacks on meteorology and air quality over eastern China under severe haze conditions in winter. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2015, 15(5): 2387–2404 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-2387-2015
23
Lu X Y, Tang J, Zhang J, Yue J, Song G K, Hu J G. Annual Report on Analysis of Beijing Society-Building. Beijing: Social Science Academic Press, 2013 (in Chinese)
24
Wang L T, Zhang Y, Wang K, Zheng B, Zhang Q, Wei W. Application of weather research and forecasting model with chemistry (WRF/Chem) over northern China: Sensitivity study, comparative evaluation, and policy implications. Atmospheric Environment, 2016, 124: 337–350 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.12.052
25
Li M, Zhang Q, Streets D G, He K B, Zhang Y. Mapping Asian anthropogenic emissions of non-methane volatile organic compounds to multiple chemical mechanisms. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2014, 14(11): 5617–5638 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-5617-2014
26
Guenther A, Karl T, Harley P, Wiedinmyer C, Palmer P I, Geron C. Estimates of global terrestrial isoprene emissions using MEGAN (Model of Emissions of Gases and Aerosols from Nature). Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2006, 6(11): 3181–3210 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-6-3181-2006
27
Shaw W J, Allwine K J, Fritz B G, Rutz F C, Rishel J P, Chapman E G. An evaluation of the wind erosion module in DUSTRAN. Atmospheric Environment, 2008, 42(8): 1907–1921 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2007.11.022
28
Zaveri R A, Peters L K. A new lumped structure photochemical mechanism for largescale applications. Journal of Geophysical Research, 1999, 104(D23): 30387–30415 https://doi.org/10.1029/1999JD900876
29
Zaveri R A, Easter R C, Fast J D, Peters L K. Model for simulating aerosol interactions and chemistry (MOSAIC). Journal of Geophysical Research, 2008, 113(D13): D13204 https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JD008782
30
Dunker A M, Morris R E, Pollack A K, Schleyer C H, Yarwood G. Photochemical modeling of the impact of fuels and vehicles on urban ozone using auto oil program data. Environmental Science & Technology, 1996, 30(3): 787–801 https://doi.org/10.1021/es950175m
31
Jiang J K, Zhou W, Cheng Z, Wang S X, He K B, Hao J M. Particulate matter distributions in China during a winter period with frequent pollution episodes (January 2013). Aerosol and Air Quality Research, 2015, 15: 494–503
32
Emery C, Tai E, Yarwood G. Enhanced Meteorological Modeling and Performance Evaluation for Two Texas Ozone Episodes. Final Report. Houston: The Texas Natural Resource Conservation Commission, 2001. Available online at .
33
Tesche T W, McNally D E, Emery C A, Tai E. Evaluation of the MM5 Model Over the Midwestern U.S. for Three 8-hour Oxidant Episodes. Wright: Alpine Geophysics, LLC and Novato: ENVIRON International Corp., 2001
34
U.S. EPA. Guidance on the use of models and other analyses for demonstrating attainment of air quality goals for ozone, PM2.5, and Regional Haze. Research Triangle Park: Office of Air and Radiation/Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, 2007
35
Boylan J W, Russell A G. PM and light extinction model performance metrics, goals, and criteria for three-dimensional air quality models. Atmospheric Environment, 2006, 40(26): 4946–4959 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2005.09.087