In this study, the causal relations between inward foreign direct investment (FDI)-energy use per capita and inward FDI-CO2 emission per capita were analyzed and the inconsistency between the causal relations was investigated via bootstrap-corrected panel causality test and cross-correlation analysis. In this direction, data from 76 countries including the period of 1980–2009 was processed. No supportive evidence was found for changing causal relations to country group which was classified into income level. The findings indicated that while the pollution haven hypothesis was supported for Mozambique, United Arab Emirates and Oman, the pollution halo hypothesis was supported in the case of India, Iceland, Panama and Zambia. For other countries, energy use and CO2 emission were neutral to inward FDI flows in aggregated level. Furthermore, this study urged that increased (decreased) energy use due to the inward FDI flows did not necessarily mean an increase (decrease) in pollution level, and vice versa. For policy purpose, FDI attractive policy should be regulated by taking into account this possibility.
. [J]. Frontiers in Energy, 2014, 8(3): 269-278.
Ertugrul YILDIRIM. Energy use, CO2 emission and foreign direct investment: Is there any inconsistence between causal relations?. Front. Energy, 2014, 8(3): 269-278.
Panel cointegration, FMOLS and panel Granger causality
1980–2009
Gulf Cooperation Council Countries
Neutrality
Eskeland and Harrison [5]
FDI-air pollution
GMM
1982–1993
Mexico, Venezuela, Cote d’Ivoire, Morocco
Mixed
Cole and Elliott [15]
FDI-pollution
Panel fixed effects and IV regressions
1989–1994
US, Brazil and Mexico
Pollution haven
Hoffman et al. [16]
FDI-CO2
Panel Granger causality
Changing
37 low-income countries
FDI←CO2
50 middle-income countries
FDI→CO2
25 high income countries
FDI≠CO2
He [17]
FDI-pollution
System of simultaneous equations
1994–2001
29 Chinese regions
Pollution haven
Merican et al. [18]
FDI-CO2
ARDL
1970–2001
Malaysia, Thailand, Philippines
Pollution haven
Indonesia
Pollution halo
Singapore
Neutrality
Waldkirch and Gopinath [19]
FDI-pollution
Cross sectional regression
1994–2000
Mexican industries
Neutrality
Jorgenson [20]
FDI- water pollution
Panel random effects regression
1980–2000
Less developed countries
Pollution haven
Lee [21]
FDI-CO2
ARDL
1970–2000
Malaysia
FDI→CO2
Tamazian et al. [22]
FDI- CO2
Panel random effects regression
1992–2004
BRIC Countries
Pollution halo
Chang [1]
FDI- SO2
Granger causality
1981–2008
China
Neutrality
Kim and Adilov [23]
FDI-CO2
Panel OLS
1961–2004
164 countries
Pollution haloor neutrality
Al-mulali and Tang [14]
FDI- CO2
Panel cointegration, FMOLS and panel Granger causality
1980–2009
Gulf Cooperation Council Countries
Pollution halo except for Bahrain
Blanco et al. [24]
FDI- CO2
Panel Granger causality
1980–2007
18 Latin American Countries
Pollution haven
Chandran and Tang [25]
FDI- CO2
Johansen Cointegration and Granger Causality
1971–2008
ASEAN-5 Countries (Transport sector)
FDI→CO2
Tab.1
Country groups
Breusch-Pagan LM test
Groupwise homoscedasticity
Test Stat
P-value
Test Stat
P-value
Low income group
292.681
0.0000
1500.85
0.0000
Lower middle income group
2197.363
0.0000
19059.03
0.0000
Upper middle income group
604.682
0.0000
5154.54
0.0000
High income OCD group
1212.231
0.0000
4229.63
0.0000
High income non-OECD group
151.304
0.0000
170000
0.0000
Tab.2
Group
Country
FDI-Energy consumption
FDI-CO2
Country
FDI-Energy consumption
FDI-CO2
Low income group
Bangladesh
←
←
Senegal
≠
≠
Benin
≠
≠
Togo
←
≠
Ghana
≠
≠
Zambia
←
?
Kenya
≠
≠
Zimbabwe
≠
≠
Mozambique
→
≠
USA
≠
≠
Lower middle income group
Bolivia
≠
≠
Nicaragua
≠
≠
Cameroon
≠
≠
Nigeria
≠
≠
Congo, Rep.
≠
≠
Pakistan
≠
≠
Cote d'Ivoire
≠
≠
Paraguay
≠
≠
Ecuador
≠
≠
Philippines
≠
≠
Egypt
≠
≠
Sri Lanka
≠
≠
El Salvador
≠
≠
Sudan
≠
≠
Guatemala
≠
≠
Syrian
≠
≠
Honduras
≠
≠
Thailand
≠
≠
India
→
≠
Tunisia
≠
≠
Jordan
≠
≠
USA
≠
≠
Morocco
≠
≠
Upper middle income group
Argentina
≠
≠
Mexico
≠
≠
Brazil
≠
≠
Panama
→
≠
Chile
←
←
Peru
≠
≠
Colombia
≠
≠
South Africa
≠
≠
Costa Rica
←
←
Turkey
≠
≠
Dominican
←
←
Uruguay
≠
≠
Gabon
≠
≠
Venezuela
≠
≠
Jamaica
←
←
USA
≠
≠
Malaysia
≠
≠
High income non-OECD group
Bahrain
≠
≠
Saudi Arabia
≠
←
Cyprus
≠
←
Singapore
≠
≠
Israel
≠
←
Trinidad and Tobago
≠
≠
Malta
≠
←
UAE
→
≠
Oman
≠
→
USA
≠
≠
High income OECD group
Australia
←
≠
Korea, Rep.
≠
≠
Austria
←
←
Luxembourg
≠
≠
Canada
≠
≠
Netherlands
≠
≠
Denmark
≠
≠
New Zealand
≠
≠
Finland
≠
≠
Norway
≠
≠
France
←
≠
Portugal
←
←
Germany
←
←
Spain
←
≠
Iceland
→
≠
Sweden
≠
≠
Italy
≠
≠
UK
≠
≠
Japan
≠
≠
USA
≠
≠
Tab.3
Country
EC(0)→FDI(0) [CO2(0)→FDI(0)]
EC(-1)→FDI(0) [CO2(-1)→FDI(0)]
EC(-2)→FDI(0) [CO2(-2)→FDI(0)]
EC(-3)→FDI(0) [CO2(-3) →FDI(0)]
Bangladesh
0.8670[0.8558]
0.7722[0.7875]
0.7008[0.7319]
0.6208[0.6720]
Chile
0.8281[0.8145]
0.7398[0.7134]
0.6580[0.6556]
0.5615[0.5558]
Costa Rica
0.8715[0.7930]
0.7707[0.7469]
0.6611[0.7439]
0.5125[0.7183]
Dominican Republic
0.7606[0.8240]
0.7894[0.7759]
0.7427[0.6994]
0.6561[0.6005]
Jamaica
0.8682[0.8419]
0.8328[0.8069]
0.7059[0.7198]
0.5771[0.6166]
Austria
0.5215[0.5505]
0.4827[0.5282]
0.5025[0.5799]
0.3896[0.4650]
Germany
-0.3334[-0.3644]
-0.3081[-0.3812]
-0.2447[-0.2674]
-0.2383[-0.2062]
Portugal
0.4932[0.5277]
0.4908[0.5553]
0.3914[0.4044]
0.2904[0.3004]
Australia
0.1888[≠]
0.2193[≠]
0.1769[≠]
0.1031[≠]
France
0.8217[≠]
0.8097[≠]
0.7820[≠]
0.7257[≠]
Togo
0.5918[≠]
0.6539[≠]
0.6255[≠]
0.6044[≠]
Spain
0.6788[≠]
0.6060[≠]
0.5210[≠]
0.4343[≠]
Cyprus
≠[0.5766]
≠[0.6431]
≠[0.6368]
≠[0.6777]
Israel
≠[0.6361]
≠[0.5908]
≠[0.5676]
≠[0.5353]
Malta
≠[0.4711]
≠[0.5375]
≠[0.4031]
≠[0.3565]
Saudi Arabia
≠[0.5434]
≠[0.7051]
≠[0.7334]
≠[0.6094]
Tab.4
Country
FDI(0)→EC(0) [FDI(0)→CO2(0)]
FDI(-1)→EC(0) [FDI(-1)→CO2(0)]
FDI(-2)→EC(0) [FDI(-2)→CO2(0)]
FDI(-3)→EC(0) [FDI(-3)→CO2(0)]
Mozambique
-0.5840≠
-0.4421≠
-0.3194≠
-0.2362≠
India
0.8732≠
0.7556≠
0.5111≠
0.3918≠
Iceland
0.5459≠
0.6207≠
0.6645≠
0.3911≠
Panama
0.5026≠
0.7313≠
0.7846≠
0.7193≠
UAE
-0.0786≠
-0.2687≠
-0.3881≠
-0.3945≠
Oman
≠[0.5616]
≠[0.5847]
≠[0.4538]
≠[0.1371]
Tab.5
EC(0)→FDI(0) [CO2(0)→FDI(0)]
EC(-1)→FDI(0) [CO2(-1)→FDI(0)]
EC(-2)→FDI(0) [CO2(-2)→FDI(0)]
EC(-3)→FDI(0) [CO2(-3) →FDI(0)]
-0.7015[-0.6641]
-0.6459[-0.6186]
-0.5757[-0.5959]
-0.5797[-0.5613]
FDI(0)→EC(0) [FDI(0)→CO2(0)]
FDI(-1)→EC(0) [FDI(-1)→CO2(0)]
FDI(-2)→EC(0) [FDI(-2)→CO2(0)]
FDI(-3)→EC(0) [FDI(-3)→CO2(0)]
≠[-0.6641]
≠[-0.6342]
≠[-0.5301]
≠[-0.3749]
Tab.6
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