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Frontiers in Energy

ISSN 2095-1701

ISSN 2095-1698(Online)

CN 11-6017/TK

邮发代号 80-972

2019 Impact Factor: 2.657

Frontiers in Energy  2014, Vol. 8 Issue (4): 443-448   https://doi.org/10.1007/s11708-014-0336-4
  本期目录
Reliability analysis of urban gas transmission and distribution system based on FMEA and correlation operator
Su LI(),Weiguo ZHOU
School of Mechanical Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China
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Abstract

In order to improve the safety management of urban gas transmission and distribution system, failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) was used to construct the reliability analysis system of the pipeline network. To solve the problem of subjectivity and uncertainty of the multi-expert decision making, the correlation operator was introduced into the calculation of the risk priority number (RPN). Using FMEA along with weight analysis and expert investigation approach, the FMEA evaluation table was given, including five failure modes, risk priority numbers, failure causes and effects, as well as corrective actions. The results show that correlation operator can directly process the linguistic terms and quantify the priority of the risks.

Key wordsgas transmission and distribution system    risk evaluation    reliability analysis    failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA)    correlation operator
收稿日期: 2014-05-04      出版日期: 2015-01-09
Corresponding Author(s): Su LI   
 引用本文:   
. [J]. Frontiers in Energy, 2014, 8(4): 443-448.
Su LI,Weiguo ZHOU. Reliability analysis of urban gas transmission and distribution system based on FMEA and correlation operator. Front. Energy, 2014, 8(4): 443-448.
 链接本文:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fie/CN/10.1007/s11708-014-0336-4
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fie/CN/Y2014/V8/I4/443
Rating Probability of occurrence Severity of a failure Detection of a failure
10 Almost certain Hazardous Almost impossible
9 Very high Serious Remote
8 High Extreme Very slight
7 Moderately high Major Slight
6 Medium Significant Low
5 Low Moderate Medium
4 Slight Minor Moderately high
3 Very slight Slight High
2 Remote Very slight Very high
1 Almost never No Almost certain
Tab.1  
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5
Expert 1 (8, 6, 2) (7, 10, 1) (8, 2, 3) (3, 4, 5) (4, 3, 4)
Expert 2 (7, 6, 3) (5, 8, 2) (7, 4, 4) (4, 6, 5) (3, 5, 4)
Expert 3 (7, 8, 4) (5, 7, 2) (6, 4, 5) (5, 3, 6) (3, 4, 5)
Expert 4 (8, 7, 2) (4, 8, 2) (6, 5, 3) (3, 3, 5) (4, 4, 6)
Expert 5 (7, 6, 3) (6, 8, 2) (9, 4, 4) (3, 4, 6) (4,5,5)
Tab.2  
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5
Expert 1 5.21 5.50 3.38 3.82 3.49
Expert 2 5.44 5.15 4.77 5.10 4.06
Expert 3 6.63 4.84 4.77 4.09 3.83
Expert 4 5.61 4.79 4.75 3.34 4.36
Expert 5 5.44 5.45 5.17 3.97 4.66
Tab.3  
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5
Expert 1 0.208147 0.179408 0.062877 0.241584 0.145018
Expert 2 0.239891 0.249997 0.244418 0.08981 0.249877
Expert 3 0.062799 0.19403 0.244831 0.249944 0.23093
Expert 4 0.249272 0.180645 0.245372 0.169729 0.2265
Expert 5 0.239891 0.19592 0.202501 0.248932 0.147675
Tab.4  
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5
RPN 5.50 5.14 4.74 3.94 4.06
Tab.5  
Evaluation object Failure mode Failure cause Failure effect Corrective action RPN
Pipeline Pipeline leakage Internal?and external corrosion;A third-party damage;Welding defect;Violation of construction procedure;Material defect Leaking gas and accumulating gas in part;Causing accidents such as poisoning, fire, explosion, etc. when problems get more serious Corrosion prevention: adopting?external?corrosion protection?combined with?cathode?protection; reducing corrosive medium in gas;Strengthening the construction of safe operation on the ground 5.50
Pipeline break A third-party damage;Welding defect;Internal?and external corrosion Damaging pipeline;Accumulating gas in part;Causing accidents such as poisoning, fire, explosion, etc. when seriously Increasing?scrutiny on the municipal engineering construction nearby underground gas pipeline?to prevent?damaging gas pipeline;Enhancing the quality management of construction 5.14
Accessory Valve leakage Internal component damage;Valve blocking;Valve corrosion Poor sealing, forming leak point;Affecting pipeline?access road open and close;Affecting the regulation of pipeline flow Replacing with valve body of high mechanical strengthAdopting tight and durable sealing elements;Adopting elements with high corrosion resistance to transmission medium 4.74
Dispersing pipe leakage Dispersing pipe corrosion;Dispersing pipe physical damage Forming mixed explosive gas in pipeline;Damaging downstream equipment and pipeline Adopting corrosion prevention on equipment;Trouble shooting all factors of physical damage 4.06
Filter failure Filter?element damage;Sewage drain blocking Damaging internal parts of equipment; Affecting the sealing of valve, pressure regulator and safety device;Affecting accuracy of pressure regulator, flowmeter and other instruments Examine damaged?condition of all elements of filter; replacing elements with good?performance;Periodically?cleaning sewage drain to prevent blocking 3.94
Tab.6  
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