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Frontiers of Engineering Management

ISSN 2095-7513

ISSN 2096-0255(Online)

CN 10-1205/N

Postal Subscription Code 80-905

Front. Eng    2022, Vol. 9 Issue (3) : 452-461    https://doi.org/10.1007/s42524-022-0209-1
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Cutting CO2 emissions through demand side regulation: Implications from multi-regional input–output linear programming model
Nan LIU1, Jidong KANG2(), Tsan Sheng NG3, Bin SU3
1. School of Management, Tianjin Normal University, Tianjin 300387, China; Energy Studies Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore 119620, Singapore
2. Energy Studies Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore 119620, Singapore
3. Energy Studies Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore 119620, Singapore; Department of Industrial & Systems Engineering and Management, National University of Singapore, Singapore 117576, Singapore
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Abstract

This study combines multi-regional input–output (MRIO) model with linear programming (LP) model to explore economic structure adjustment strategies for the reduction of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. A particular feature of this study is the identification of the optimal regulation sequence of final products in various regions to reduce CO2 emissions with the minimum loss in gross domestic product (GDP). By using China’s MRIO tables 2017 with 28 regions and 42 economic sectors, results show that reduction in final demand leads to simultaneous reductions in GDP and CO2 emissions. Nevertheless, certain demand side regulation strategy can be adopted to lower CO2 emissions at the smallest loss of economic growth. Several key final products, such as metallurgy, nonmetal, metal, and chemical products, should first be regulated to reduce CO2 emissions at the minimum loss in GDP. Most of these key products concentrate in the coastal developed regions in China. The proposed MRIOLP model considers the inter-relationship among various sectors and regions, and can aid policy makers in designing effective policy for industrial structure adjustment at the regional level to achieve the national environmental and economic targets.

Keywords CO2 emissions      demand side regulation      multi-regional input–output model      linear programming model     
Corresponding Author(s): Jidong KANG   
About author:

Tongcan Cui and Yizhe Hou contributed equally to this work.

Just Accepted Date: 09 June 2022   Online First Date: 11 August 2022    Issue Date: 05 September 2022
 Cite this article:   
Nan LIU,Jidong KANG,Tsan Sheng NG, et al. Cutting CO2 emissions through demand side regulation: Implications from multi-regional input–output linear programming model[J]. Front. Eng, 2022, 9(3): 452-461.
 URL:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fem/EN/10.1007/s42524-022-0209-1
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fem/EN/Y2022/V9/I3/452
Regions Provinces/Cities included
Northeast Heilongjiang, Jilin, Liaoning
Jing–Jin Beijing, Tianjin
North Coast Hebei, Shandong
Central Coast Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai
South Coast Fujian, Guangdong, Hainan
Central Shanxi, Henan, Anhui, Hubei, Hunan, Jiangxi
Northwest Inner Mongolia, Shaanxi, Ningxia, Gansu
Southwest Sichuan, Chongqing, Yunnan, Guizhou, Guangxi
Tab.1  Eight geographical regions in China
Code Sector Code Sector
S01 Agriculture S22 Other manufacturing
S02 Coal mining S23 Repair service of metal products, machinery and equipment
S03 Petroleum and gas S24 Electricity and hot water production and supply
S04 Metal mining S25 Gas production and supply
S05 Nonmetal mining S26 Water production and supply
S06 Food processing and tobaccos S27 Construction
S07 Textile S28 Wholesale and retailing
S08 Clothing, leather, fur, etc. S29 Transport and storage
S09 Wood processing and furnishing S30 Hotel and restaurant
S10 Paper making, printing, stationery, etc. S31 Information transmission, software and information technology services
S11 Petroleum refining, coking, etc. S32 Finance
S12 Chemical industry S33 Real estate
S13 Nonmetal mineral products S34 Leasing and commercial services
S14 Metallurgy S35 Scientific research
S15 Metal products S36 Technical service
S16 General machinery S37 Water conservancy, environment and public facilities management
S17 Specialist machinery S38 Resident services, repairs and other services
S18 Transport equipment S39 Education
S19 Electrical equipment S40 Health and social work
S20 Electronic equipment S41 Culture, sports and entertainment
S21 Instrument and meter S42 Public administration, social security and social organizations
Tab.2  42 economic sectors in China
Fig.1  Optimal Pareto frontier of GDP and CO2 emissions in China.
Pareto solution 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
CO2 emissions reduction (%) 0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0
GDP reduction (%) 0 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.3 3.1 3.9 4.7 5.9 7.7
Ratio (yuan/ton CO2) 2528 2922 3133 3324 3517 3661 3830 4163 4842
Number of regulated sectors 0 32 48 53 83 87 103 136 186 224
Tab.3  10 Pareto optimal solutions generated by the MRIO–LP model
Optimal sequence Products Regions UEMC (yuan/ton)
1 Metallurgy Jing–Jin 1839
2 Metallurgy South Coast 2156
3 Metallurgy Central Coast 2465
4 Metallurgy Northeast 2581
5 Metallurgy North Coast 2585
6 Metallurgy Central 2737
7 Metallurgy Southwest 2916
8 Metallurgy Northwest 2951
9 Instrumentation North Coast 3197
10 Instrumentation Northwest 3230
11 Nonmetal mineral products Jing–Jin 3331
12 Nonmetal mineral products North Coast 3387
13 Nonmetal mineral products South Coast 3497
14 Instrumentation South Coast 3508
15 Nonmetal mineral products Northeast 3519
16 Nonmetal mineral products Central Coast 3597
17 Instrumentation Central Coast 3697
18 Metal products Jing–Jin 3733
19 Nonmetal mineral products Central 3843
20 Instrumentation Jing–Jin 3874
21 Nonmetal mineral products Southwest 4028
22 Instrumentation Southwest 4036
23 Instrumentation Central 4039
24 Instrumentation Northeast 4107
25 Chemical industry North Coast 4542
26 Repair service of metal products, machinery and equipment South Coast 4549
27 Nonmetal mineral products Northwest 4641
28 Metal products Northeast 4740
29 Metal products South Coast 4756
30 Metal products North Coast 4771
31 Chemical industry South Coast 4776
32 Repair service of metal products, machinery and equipment Southwest 4822
Tab.4  Optimal regulation sequence of top 32 final products in China
Fig.2  Percentage reduction in GDP and CO2 emissions in various sectors by regulating the key 32 products in China.
Fig.3  Percentage reduction in GDP and CO2 emissions in various regions by regulating the key 32 products in China.
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