|
|
Combining gradual and abrupt analysis to detect variation of vegetation greenness on the loess areas of China |
Panxing HE1,2, Zongjiu SUN1(), Dongxiang XU3, Huixia LIU1, Rui YAO4, Jun MA2() |
1. Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Western Arid Region Grassland Resources and Ecology, College of Grassland and Environment Sciences, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830000, China 2. Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Biodiversity Science and Ecological Engineering, Institute of Biodiversity Science, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China 3. School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Queensland, Queensland 4072, Australia 4. Hubei Key Laboratory of Critical Zone Evolution, School of Geography and Information Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China |
|
|
Abstract The annual peak growth and trend shift of vegetation are critical in characterizing the carbon sequestration capacity of ecosystems. As the well-known area with the fastest vegetation growth in the world, the Loess Plateau (LP) lands find an enhanced greening trend in the annual and growing-season. However, the spatiotemporal dynamics of vegetation peak growth and breakpoints characteristics on time series still needs to be explored. Here, we performed tendency analysis to characterize recent variations in annual peak vegetation growth through a satellite-derived vegetation index (NDVImax, Maximum Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) and then applied breakpoint analysis to capture abrupt points on the time series. The results demonstrated that the vegetation peak trend had been significantly increasing, with a growth rate at 0.68×10–2·a–1 during 2001–2018, and most pixels (70.81%) have a positive linear greening trend over the entire LP. In addition, about 83% of the breakpoint type on the monthly NDVI time series is a monotonic increase at the pixel level, and most pixels (57%) have detected breakpoints after 2010. Our results also showed that the growth rate accelerates in the northwest and decelerates in the southeast after the breakpoint. This study indicates that combining abrupt analysis with gradual analysis can describe vegetation dynamics more effectively and comprehensively. The findings highlighted the importance of breakpoint analysis for monitor timing and shift using time series satellite data at a regional scale, which may help stakeholders to make reasonable and effective ecosystem management policies.
|
Keywords
vegetation greenness
gradual trend
breakpoint
BFAST algorithm
the Loess Plateau area
|
Corresponding Author(s):
Zongjiu SUN,Jun MA
|
About author: Tongcan Cui and Yizhe Hou contributed equally to this work. |
Online First Date: 19 July 2021
Issue Date: 26 August 2022
|
|
1 |
N Andela, Y Liu, A I J M van Dijk, R A M de Jeu, T R McVicar (2013). Global changes in dryland vegetation dynamics (1988–2008) assessed by satellite remote sensing: comparing a new passive microwave vegetation density record with reflective greenness data. Biogeosciences, 10(10): 6657–6676
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-6657-2013
|
2 |
M Brandt, K Rasmussen, J Peñuelas, F Tian, G Schurgers, A Verger, O Mertz, J R B Palmer, R Fensholt (2017). Human population growth offsets climate-driven increase in woody vegetation in sub-Saharan Africa. Nat Ecol Evol, 1(4): 0081
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-017-0081
pmid: 28812661
|
3 |
S Cao, L Chen, D Shankman, C Wang, X Wang, H Zhang (2011). Excessive reliance on afforestation in China’s arid and semi-arid regions: lessons in ecological restoration. Earth Sci Rev, 104(4): 240–245
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2010.11.002
|
4 |
C Chen, T Park, X Wang, S Piao, B Xu, R K Chaturvedi, R Fuchs, V Brovkin, P Ciais, R Fensholt, H Tømmervik, G Bala, Z Zhu, R R Nemani, R B Myneni (2019). China and India lead in greening of the world through land-use management. Nat Sustain, 2(2): 122–129
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0220-7
pmid: 30778399
|
5 |
R de Jong, J Verbesselt, A Zeileis, M Schaepman(2013). Shifts in global vegetation activity trends. Remote Sens, 5: 1117–1133
|
6 |
H Deng, N C Pepin, Q Liu, Y Chen (2018). Understanding the spatial differences in terrestrial water storage variations in the Tibetan Plateau from 2002 to 2016. Clim Change, 151(3): 379–393
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2325-9
|
7 |
X Fang, Q Zhu, L Ren, H Chen, K Wang, C Peng (2018). Large-scale detection of vegetation dynamics and their potential drivers using MODIS images and BFAST: a case study in Quebec Canada. Remote Sens Environ, 206(1): 391–402
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2017.11.017
|
8 |
R Fensholt, T Langanke, K Rasmussen, A Reenberg, S D Prince, C Tucker, R J Scholes, Q B Le, A Bondeau, R Eastman, H Epstein, A E Gaughan, U Hellden, C Mbow, L Olsson, J Paruelo, C Schweitzer, J Seaquist, K Wessels (2012). Greenness in semi-arid areas across the globe 1981–2007 — an Earth Observing Satellite based analysis of trends and drivers. Remote Sens Environ, 121(1): 144–158
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2012.01.017
|
9 |
B Fu, S Wang, Y Liu, J Liu, W Liang, C Miao (2017). Hydrogeomorphic ecosystem responses to natural and anthropogenic changes in the Loess Plateau of China. Annu Rev Earth Planet Sci, 45(1): 223–243
https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-063016-020552
|
10 |
L Geng, T Che, X Wang, H Wang (2019). Detecting spatiotemporal changes in vegetation with the BFAST model in the Qilian Mountain Region during 2000–2017. Remote Sens, 11(2): 103
https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11020103
|
11 |
M Gholamnia, R Khandan, S Bonafoni, A Sadeghi (2019). Spatiotemporal analysis of MODIS NDVI in the semif-arid region of Kurdistan (Iran). Remote Sens, 11(14): 1723
https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11141723
|
12 |
Y Guo, C Peng, Q Zhu, M Wang, H Wang, S Peng, H He (2019). Modelling the impacts of climate and land use changes on soil water erosion: model applications, limitations and future challenges. J Environ Manage, 250(15): 109403
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109403
pmid: 31499466
|
13 |
Z Han, S Huang, Q Huang, Q Bai, G Leng, H Wang, J Zhao, X Wei, X Zheng (2020). Effects of vegetation restoration on groundwater drought in the Loess Plateau China. J Hydrol (Amst), 591(1): 125566
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125566
|
14 |
P He, Z Sun, Z Han, X Ma, P Zhao, Y Liu, J Ma (2020a). Divergent trends of water storage observed via gravity satellite across distinct areas in China. Water, 12(10): 2862
https://doi.org/10.3390/w12102862
|
15 |
Y He, H Yan, L Ma, L Zhang, L Qiu, S Yang (2020b). Spatiotemporal dynamics of the vegetation in Ningxia China using MODIS imagery. Front Earth Sci., 14(1): 221–235
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-019-0767-7
|
16 |
B Holben (1986). Characteristics of maximum-value composite images from temporal AVHRR data. Int J Remote Sens, 7(11): 1417–1434
https://doi.org/10.1080/01431168608948945
|
17 |
K Huang, J Xia, Y Wang, A Ahlström, J Chen, R B Cook, E Cui, Y Fang, J B Fisher, D N Huntzinger, Z Li, A M Michalak, Y Qiao, K Schaefer, C Schwalm, J Wang, Y Wei, X Xu, L Yan, C Bian, Y Luo (2018). Enhanced peak growth of global vegetation and its key mechanisms. Nat Ecol Evol, 2(12): 1897–1905
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-018-0714-0
pmid: 30420745
|
18 |
A T Kaptué, L Prihodko, N P Hanan (2015). On regreening and degradation in Sahelian watersheds. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, 112(39): 12133–12138
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1509645112
pmid: 26371296
|
19 |
M C La Fevor (2014). Restoration of degraded agricultural terraces: rebuilding landscape structure and process. J Environ Manage, 138(1): 32–42
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2013.11.019
pmid: 24355068
|
20 |
G Li, S Sun, J Han, J Yan, W Liu, Y Wei, N Lu, Y Sun (2019). Impacts of Chinese grain for green program and climate change on vegetation in the Loess Plateau during 1982–2015. Sci Total Environ, 660(1): 177–187
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.01.028
pmid: 30640086
|
21 |
Z Li, J Pan (2018). Spatiotemporal changes in vegetation net primary productivity in the arid region of northwest China 2001 to 2012. Front Earth Sci, 12(1): 108–124
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-017-0621-8
|
22 |
Z Liu, C Wu, Y Liu, X Wang, B Fang, W Yuan, Q Ge (2017). Spring green-up date derived from GIMMS3g and SPOT-VGT NDVI of winter wheat cropland in the North China Plain. ISPRS J Photogramm Remote Sens, 130(1): 81–91
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2017.05.015
|
23 |
F Lu, H Hu, W Sun, J Zhu, G Liu, W Zhou, Q Zhang, P Shi, X Liu, X Wu, L Zhang, X Wei, L Dai, K Zhang, Y Sun, S Xue, W Zhang, D Xiong, L Deng, B Liu, L Zhou, C Zhang, X Zheng, J Cao, Y Huang, N He, G Zhou, Y Bai, Z Xie, Z Tang, B Wu, J Fang, G Liu, G Yu (2018). Effects of national ecological restoration projects on carbon sequestration in China from 2001 to 2010. Proc Nat Acad Sci USA, 115(16): 4039–4044
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1700294115
pmid: 29666317
|
24 |
X Lu, Y Liao (2017). Effect of tillage practices on net carbon flux and economic parameters from farmland on the Loess Plateau in China. J Clean Prod, 162(20): 1617–1624
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.09.044
|
25 |
J Ma, X Xiao, R Miao, Y Li, B Chen, Y Zhang, B Zhao (2019). Trends and controls of terrestrial gross primary productivity of China during 2000–2016. Environ Res Lett, 14(8): 084032
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab31e4
|
26 |
T Ning, W Liu, W Lin, X Song (2015). NDVI variation and its responses to climate change on the northern Loess Plateau of China from 1998 to 2012. Adv Meteorol, 2015(1): 1–10
https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/725427
|
27 |
Q Niu, X Xiao, Y Zhang, Y Qin, X Dang, J Wang, Z Zou, R B Doughty, M Brandt, X Tong, S Horion, R Fensholt, C Chen, R B Myneni, W Xu, G Di, X Zhou (2019). Ecological engineering projects increased vegetation cover production and biomass in semiarid and subhumid Northern China. Land Degrad Dev, 30(13): 1620–1631
https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.3351
|
28 |
S Piao, X Wang, T Park, C Chen, X Lian, Y He, J W Bjerke, A Chen, P Ciais, H Tømmervik, R R Nemani, R B Myneni (2020). Characteristics drivers and feedbacks of global greening. Nat Rev Earth Environ, 1(1): 14–27
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-019-0001-x
|
29 |
B Poulter, D Frank, P Ciais, R B Myneni, N Andela, J Bi, G Broquet, J G Canadell, F Chevallier, Y Y Liu, S W Running, S Sitch, G R van der Werf (2014). Contribution of semi-arid ecosystems to interannual variability of the global carbon cycle. Nature, 509(7502): 600–603
https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13376
pmid: 24847888
|
30 |
S Pütz, J Groeneveld, K Henle, C Knogge, A C Martensen, M Metz, J P Metzger, M C Ribeiro, M D de Paula, A Huth (2014). Long-term carbon loss in fragmented Neotropical forests. Nat Commun, 5(5037): 5037
https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms6037
pmid: 25289858
|
31 |
J Qiao, D Yu, Q Wang, Y Liu (2018). Diverse effects of crop distribution and climate change on crop production in the agro-pastoral transitional zone of China. Front Earth Sci, 12(2): 408–419
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-017-0665-9
|
32 |
W Sun, Y Zhang, X Mu, J Li, P Gao, G Zhao, T Dang, F Chiew (2019). Identifying terraces in the hilly and gully regions of the Loess Plateau in China. Land Degrad Dev, 30(17): 2126–2138
https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.3405
|
33 |
G Tang, J A III Arnone , P S J Verburg, R L Jasoni, L Sun (2015). Trends and climatic sensitivities of vegetation phenology in semiarid and arid ecosystems in the US Great Basin during 1982–2011. Biogeosciences, 12(23): 6985–6997
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-6985-2015
|
34 |
X Tong, M Brandt, Y Yue, S Horion, K Wang, W D Keersmaecker, F Tian, G Schurgers, X Xiao, Y Luo, C Chen, R Myneni, Z Shi, H Chen, R Fensholt (2018). Increased vegetation growth and carbon stock in China karst via ecological engineering. Nat Sustain, 1(1): 44–50
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-017-0004-x
|
35 |
J Verbesselt, R Hyndman, G Newnham, D Culvenor (2010a). Detecting trend and seasonal changes in satellite image time series. Remote Sens Environ, 114(1): 106–115
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2009.08.014
|
36 |
J Verbesselt, R Hyndman, A Zeileis, D Culvenor (2010b). Phenological change detection while accounting for abrupt and gradual trends in satellite image time series. Remote Sens Environ, 114(12): 2970–2980
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2010.08.003
|
37 |
F Wang, Z Haiyan, X Dong (2016). Quantifying changes in multiple ecosystem services during 2000–2012 on the Loess Plateau China as a result of climate variability and ecological restoration. Ecol Eng, 97(1): 258–271
|
38 |
J Wang, D Zhang, Y Nan, Z Liu, D K Qi (2020). Spatial patterns of net primary productivity and its driving forces: a multi-scale analysis in the transnational area of the Tumen River. Front Earth Sci, 14(1): 124–139
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-019-0759-7
|
39 |
Q Wang, J Zeng, S Leng, B Fan, J Tang, C Jiang, Y Huang, Q Zhang, Y Qu, W Wang, W Shui (2018a). The effects of air temperature and precipitation on the net primary productivity in China during the early 21st century. Front Earth Sci, 12(4): 818–833
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-018-0697-9
|
40 |
X Wang, F Xiao, X Feng, B Fu, Z Zhou, C Chan (2018b). Soil conservation on the Loess Plateau and the regional effect: impact of the ‘Grain for Green’ Project. Earth Environ Sci, 109(3–4): 461–471
https://doi.org/10.1017/S1755691018000634
|
41 |
X Wang, B Wang, X Xu, T Liu, Y Duan, Y Zhao (2018c). Spatial and temporal variations in surface soil moisture and vegetation cover in the Loess Plateau from 2000 to 2015. Ecol Indic, 95(1): 320–330
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.07.058
|
42 |
Y Wang, M Brandt, M Zhao, X Tong, K Xing, F Xue, M Kang, L Wang, Y Jiang, R Fensholt (2018d). Major forest increase on the Loess Plateau China (2001–2016). Land Degrad Dev, 29(11): 4080–4091
https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.3174
|
43 |
L M Watts, S W Laffan (2014). Effectiveness of the BFAST algorithm for detecting vegetation response patterns in a semi-arid region. Remote Sens Environ, 154(1): 234–245
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2014.08.023
|
44 |
Z Wu, M Wang, H Zhang, Z Du (2019a). Vegetation and soil wind erosion dynamics of sandstorm control programs in the agro-pastoral transitional zone of northern China. Front Earth Sci, 13(2): 430–443
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-018-0715-y
|
45 |
X Wu, S Wang, B Fu, X Feng, Y Chen (2019b). Socio-ecological changes on the Loess Plateau of China after Grain to Green Program. Sci Total Environ, 678(15): 565–573
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.05.022
pmid: 31078847
|
46 |
J Xia, S Niu, P Ciais, I A Janssens, J Chen, C Ammann, A Arain, P D Blanken, A Cescatti, D Bonal, N Buchmann, P S Curtis, S Chen, J Dong, L B Flanagan, C Frankenberg, T Georgiadis, C M Gough, D Hui, G Kiely, J Li, M Lund, V Magliulo, B Marcolla, L Merbold, L Montagnani, E J Moors, J E Olesen, S Piao, A Raschi, O Roupsard, A E Suyker, M Urbaniak, F P Vaccari, A Varlagin, T Vesala, M Wilkinson, E Weng, G Wohlfahrt, L Yan, Y Luo (2015). Joint control of terrestrial gross primary productivity by plant phenology and physiology. Proc Nat Acad Sci USA, 112(9): 2788–2793
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1413090112
pmid: 25730847
|
47 |
J Xiao (2014). Satellite evidence for significant biophysical consequences of the “Grain for Green” Program on the Loess Plateau in China. J Geophys Res Biogeosci, 119(12): 2261–2275
https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JG002820
|
48 |
Y Xiong, F Peng, B Zou (2019). Spatiotemporal influences of land use/cover changes on the heat island effect in rapid urbanization area. Front Earth Sci, 13(3): 614–627
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-018-0747-3
|
49 |
J Yang, J Dong, X Xiao, J Dai, C Wu, J Xia, G Zhao, M Zhao, Z Li, Y Zhang, Q Ge (2019a). Divergent shifts in peak photosynthesis timing of temperate and alpine grasslands in China. Remote Sens Environ, 233(1): 111395
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2019.111395
|
50 |
X Yang, J Na, G A Tang, T Wang, A Zhu (2019b). Bank gully extraction from DEMs utilizing the geomorphologic features of a loess hilly area in China. Front Earth Sci, 13(1): 151–168
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-018-0700-5
|
51 |
S Zhang, D Yang, Y Yang, S Piao, H Yang, H Lei, B Fu (2018). Excessive afforestation and soil drying on China’s Loess Plateau. J Geophys Res Biogeosci, 123(3): 923–935
https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JG004038
|
52 |
A Zhao, A Zhang, C Lu, D Wang, H Wang, H Liu (2017). Spatiotemporal variation of vegetation coverage before and after implementation of Grain for Green Program in Loess Plateau China. Ecol Eng, 104(1): 13–22
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2017.03.013
|
53 |
J Zhao, S Huang, Q Huang, H Wang, G Leng, J Peng, H Dong (2019). Copula-Based abrupt variations detection in the relationship of seasonal vegetation-climate in the Jing River Basin China. Remote Sens, 11(13): 1628
https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11131628
|
54 |
Q Zhong, J Ma, B Zhao, X Wang, J Zong, X Xiao (2019). Assessing spatial-temporal dynamics of urban expansion vegetation greenness and photosynthesis in megacity Shanghai China during 2000–2016. Remote Sens Environ, 233(1): 111374
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2019.111374
|
55 |
L Zhou, Y Tian, R B Myneni, P Ciais, S Saatchi, Y Y Liu, S Piao, H Chen, E F Vermote, C Song, T Hwang (2014). Widespread decline of Congo rainforest greenness in the past decade. Nature, 509(7498): 86–90
https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13265
pmid: 24759324
|
|
Viewed |
|
|
|
Full text
|
|
|
|
|
Abstract
|
|
|
|
|
Cited |
|
|
|
|
|
Shared |
|
|
|
|
|
Discussed |
|
|
|
|