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Frontiers in Energy

ISSN 2095-1701

ISSN 2095-1698(Online)

CN 11-6017/TK

邮发代号 80-972

2019 Impact Factor: 2.657

Frontiers in Energy  2019, Vol. 13 Issue (4): 612-625   https://doi.org/10.1007/s11708-019-0647-6
  研究论文 本期目录
通过聚类分析了解英国的高碳排放家庭
王欣芳1(), 明孟2
1. 英国伯明翰大学环境工程学院
2. 华北电力大学经管学院
Understanding high-emitting households in the UK through a cluster analysis
Xinfang WANG1(), Ming MENG2
1. School of Chemical Engineering, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK
2. Department of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, China
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摘要:

人为的气候变化是一个全球性问题,影响到每个国家和每个人,这主要是由于人类向大气中排放温室气体。通常,很大部分的温室气体排放是由一小部分人口产生的。本文重点介绍英国家庭中高排放者及其能源使用产生的二氧化碳排放量。本文采用聚类分析方法,旨在确定高排放者是否由不同集群组成,其中每个集群中的家庭具有相似的特征,但不同集群中的家庭彼此不同。数据主要基于英国的生活成本和食物调查问卷。结果表明,在等效家庭碳排放量和收入之后,高排放者可以分为六组,每组具有相似的特征,但不同组在收入、年龄、家庭组成、住所类型及大小和使用权类型却彼此不同。聚类结果表明,不同种社会经济因素组合,例如生活在至少六个房间的低收入单身女性,或拥有大型独立式住宅的高收入退休夫妇,都可能是高碳排放人群。政策制定者应针对每个高排放群体制定不同的措施,以更有效地减少家庭能源消耗产生的二氧化碳排放量。

Abstract

Anthropogenic climate change is a global problem that affects every country and each individual. It is largely caused by human beings emitting greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. In general, a small percentage of the population is responsible for a large amount of emissions. This paper focuses on high emitters and their CO2 emissions from energy use in UK homes. It applies a cluster approach, aiming to identify whether the high emitters comprise clusters where households in each cluster share similar characteristics but are different from the others. The data are mainly based on the Living Cost and Food survey in the UK. The results show that after equivalising both household emissions and income, the high emitters can be clustered into six groups which share similar characteristics within each group, but are different from the others in terms of income, age, household composition, category and size of the dwelling, and tenure type. The clustering results indicate that various combinations of socioeconomic factors, such as low-income single female living in an at least six-room property, or high-income retired couple owning a large detached house, could all lead to high CO2 emissions from energy use at home. Policymakers should target each high-emitter cluster differently to reduce CO2 emissions from energy consumption at home more effectively.

Key wordscluster analysis    emissions reduction    energy use    high emitters    household energy consumption    socioeconomic factors
收稿日期: 2018-12-29      出版日期: 2019-12-26
 引用本文:   
王欣芳, 明孟. 通过聚类分析了解英国的高碳排放家庭[J]. Frontiers in Energy, 2019, 13(4): 612-625.
Xinfang WANG, Ming MENG. Understanding high-emitting households in the UK through a cluster analysis. Front. Energy, 2019, 13(4): 612-625.
 链接本文:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fie/CN/10.1007/s11708-019-0647-6
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fie/CN/Y2019/V13/I4/612
Member of the household Modified OECD for
disposable income
First adult 1
Second and subsequent adults 0.5
Children aged 14–18 0.5
Children under 14 0.3
Tab.1  
Type of dwelling Heat loss/(W·°C–1)
Detached 342
Semi-detached 264
Terraced 235
Bungalow 225
Flat 167
UK mean 247
Tab.2  
Government office regions Gas unit price by payment method/£ Electricity unit price by payment method/£
Credit Direct debit Prepayment meters Overall Credit Direct debit Prepayment
meters
Overall
North East 4.58 4.21 4.54 4.37 14.89 13.63 14.87 14.18
North West and Merseyside 4.61 4.24 4.59 4.41 15.14 13.85 15.19 14.46
Yorkshire and the Humber 4.61 4.21 4.60 4.38 14.85 13.55 14.81 14.16
East Midlands 4.57 4.23 4.61 4.38 14.78 13.63 14.86 14.14
West Midlands 4.72 4.30 4.62 4.48 15.10 13.75 15.04 14.38
Eastern 4.62 4.28 4.59 4.42 14.83 13.64 14.80 14.16
London 4.69 4.37 4.62 4.53 14.82 13.73 14.86 14.38
South East 4.7 4.32 4.59 4.47 14.70 13.60 14.72 14.04
South West 4.67 4.33 4.59 4.45 15.66 14.53 15.69 15.03
Wales 4.65 4.32 4.61 4.47 16.01 14.62 15.84 15.25
Scotland 4.59 4.20 4.54 4.36 15.58 14.28 15.32 14.84
Northern Ireland 4.47 17.07 16.44 16.65 16.72
UK (excluded
Northern Ireland
for gas unit price)
4.65 4.28 4.59 4.43 15.13 13.90 15.20 14.48
Tab.3  
Number of people in the household Equivalisation factor
One 0.82
Two 1.00
Three 1.07
Four 1.21
Five or more 1.32
Tab.4  
Pearson
correlation
Second dwelling in the UK Cars and vans in household Weekly disposable household income Rooms in accommodation Age of the oldest person
Second dwelling
in the UK
1 0.133** 0.266** 0.232** 0.014
Cars and vans in household 0.133** 1 0.341** 0.485** 0.094*
Weekly
disposable
household
income
0.266** 0.341** 1 0.480** 0.121**
Rooms in accommodation 0.232** 0.485** 0.480** 1 0.233**
Age of the oldest person 0.014 0.094* 0.121** 0.233** 1
Tab.5  
Cramer’s V for Pearson’s Chi-square Composition of household Category of dwelling Tenure type Sex of HRP GORs
Composition of household 1 0.237* 0.320** 0.574** 0.207
Category of dwelling 0.237* 1 0.263** 0.213** 0.181**
Tenure type 0.320** 0.263** 1 0.294** 0.166*
Sex of HRP 0.574** 0.213** 0.294** 1 0.180
GORs 0.207 0.181** 0.166* 0.180 1
Tab.6  
Fig.1  
Variables Cluster A Cluster B Cluster C Cluster D Cluster E Cluster F
Number of households 104 107 75 56 120 48
Composition of household 71% two adults, no children 28% two adults, no children; 46% two adults with children; 23% at least three adults 23% one adult with children; 39% two adults with children; 12% two adults, no children 34% single female; 30% two adults, no children; 25% at least three adults 18% two adults, no children; 51% two adults with children; 21% at least three adults 56% two adults, no children; 38% at least three adults
Category of dwelling 95% detached 99% detached 61% semi-detached or terraced; 12% flat 38% detached; 57% semi-detached or terraced 91% semi-detached or terraced 81% semi-detached or terraced
Tenure type 98% own outright 91% own with a mortgage 64% rent; 37%own with a mortgage 64% own outright; 30% own with a mortgage 33% rent; 63% own with a mortgage 92% own outright
Second dwelling in the UK -
Sex of HRP 91% male 99% male 96% female 100% female 100% male 100% male
Mean equivalised disposable household Income/(£•week–1) 703 758 291 448 396 391
Mean number of cars and vans 2 2 1 2 1 1
Mean number of rooms 8 9 6 7 6 7
Age of the oldest person 73% over 60 82% under 59 96% under 59 57% over 60; 29% between 50 and 59 87% under 59 71% over 60
Government office region
Mean equivalised household CO2 emissions from energy use at home (tonnes CO2/year) 14.45 11.77 9.97 12.88 10.23 11.54
Tab.7  
ECO Energy company obligation
FIT Feed-in Tariffs
GORs Government office regions
GHG Greenhouse gas
HRP Household reference person
LCF Living cost and food
LESA Landlord’s energy saving allowance
LIHC Low income high cost
OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
ONS Office for National Statistics
UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
  
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