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Frontiers of Computer Science

ISSN 2095-2228

ISSN 2095-2236(Online)

CN 10-1014/TP

Postal Subscription Code 80-970

2018 Impact Factor: 1.129

Front Comput Sci Chin    2010, Vol. 4 Issue (2) : 196-203    https://doi.org/10.1007/s11704-010-0508-2
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Developing an SVM-based ensemble learning system for customer risk identification collaborating with customer relationship management
Lean YU1,2(), Shouyang WANG1, Kin Keung LAI3
1. Institute of Systems Science, Academy of Mathematics and System Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China; 2. Hangzhou Key Laboratory of E-Business and Information Security, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou 310036, China; 3. Department of Management Sciences, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
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Abstract

In this study, we propose a support vector machine (SVM)-based ensemble learning system for customer relationship management (CRM) to help enterprise managers effectively manage customer risks from the risk aversion perspective. This system differs from the classical CRM for retaining and targeting profitable customers; the main focus of the proposed SVM-based ensemble learning system is to identify high-risk customers in CRM for avoiding possible loss. To build an effective SVM-based ensemble learning system, the effects of ensemble members’ diversity, ensemble member selection and different ensemble strategies on the performance of the proposed SVM-based ensemble learning system are each investigated in a practical CRM case. Through experimental analysis, we find that the Bayesian-based SVM ensemble learning system with diverse components and choose from space selection strategy show the best performance over various testing samples.

Keywords support vector machines (SVM)      ensemble learning      diversity strategy      selection strategy      ensemble strategy      customer relationship management (CRM)     
Corresponding Author(s): YU Lean,Email:yulean@amss.ac.cn   
Issue Date: 05 June 2010
 Cite this article:   
Lean YU,Shouyang WANG,Kin Keung LAI. Developing an SVM-based ensemble learning system for customer risk identification collaborating with customer relationship management[J]. Front Comput Sci Chin, 2010, 4(2): 196-203.
 URL:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fcs/EN/10.1007/s11704-010-0508-2
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fcs/EN/Y2010/V4/I2/196
Fig.1  General procedure of SVM-based ensemble learning system
Fig.1  General procedure of SVM-based ensemble learning system
SVM algorithms for ensemble membersDiversity sources
Standard SVMLSSVMVariation 1Variation 2Variation 3
E1E2
E3E4
E5E6
E7E8
Tab.1  The diversity source of ensemble members of the eight SVM-based ensemble models
EnsembleSelection strategyEnsemble strategy
Majority voting ensembleBayesian-based ensemble/%
E1PCA70.7576.36
CTB71.3077.68
CFS77.7879.21
E2PCA75.3987.06
CTB77.1388.14
CFS78.9688.68
E3PCA72.5077.68
CTB70.8175.63
CFS72.7778.18
E4PCA74.6286.05
CTB75.6385.71
CFS76.5488.87
E5PCA69.0677.78
CTB70.1175.79
CFS71.3582.18
E6PCA72.7785.63
CTB74.6285.18
CFS75.6387.06
E7PCA72.9381.09
CTB71.2480.23
CFS73.3582.69
E8PCA76.5787.89
CTB75.1690.30
CFS79.3291.27
LogRPCA57.6560.08
CTB58.6362.29
CFS59.4960.86
ANNPCA68.6373.35
CTB69.0671.24
CFS68.6572.93
Tab.2  Total accuracy for different ensemble models
Fig.2  Total accuracy of SVM-based ensemble models
Fig.2  Total accuracy of SVM-based ensemble models
Fig.3  Total accuracy of , , LogR ensemble and the ANN ensemble
Fig.3  Total accuracy of , , LogR ensemble and the ANN ensemble
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