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Frontiers of Medicine

ISSN 2095-0217

ISSN 2095-0225(Online)

CN 11-5983/R

Postal Subscription Code 80-967

2018 Impact Factor: 1.847

Front. Med.    2017, Vol. 11 Issue (3) : 393-402    https://doi.org/10.1007/s11684-017-0532-9
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Risk factors of prognosis after acute kidney injury in hospitalized patients
Sasa Nie1, Zhe Feng1, Lihua Xia1, Jiuxu Bai1, Fenglin Xiao1, Jian Liu1, Li Tang1(), Xiangmei Chen1()
1. Department of Nephrology, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Chinese PLA Institute of Nephrology, State Key Laboratory of Kidney Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Kidney Diseases, Beijing Key Laboratory of Kidney Diseases, Beijing 100853, China
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Abstract

The risk factors, especially laboratory indicators, of prognosis after acute kidney injury (AKI) remain unclear. We conducted a retrospective survey of Chinese People’s Liberation Army General Hospital from January 1, 2012 to December 31, 2012 according to the AKI diagnosis standard issued by Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes. The epidemiological features and factors influencing hospital mortality and renal function recovery were evaluated through logistic regression analysis. Among 77 662 cases of hospitalized patients, 1387 suffered from AKI. The incidence rate and mortality of AKI were 1.79% and 14.56%, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that high AKI stage, age greater than 80 years, neoplastic disease, low cardiac output, increased white blood cell count, and decreased platelet count and serum albumin levels were the risk factors affecting the mortality of AKI patients. Conversely, body mass index between 28 and 34.9 was a protective factor. Increased AKI stage, tumor disease, post-cardiopulmonary resuscitation, and RRT were the risk factors of renal function recovery upon discharge. In addition to traditional risk factors, white blood cell count, platelet count, albumin, and BMI were the predictors of the mortality of AKI patients. No laboratory indicators were found to be the risk factors of renal function recovery in AKI patients.

Keywords acute kidney injury      risk factors      prognosis     
Corresponding Author(s): Li Tang,Xiangmei Chen   
Just Accepted Date: 07 April 2017   Online First Date: 10 May 2017    Issue Date: 29 August 2017
 Cite this article:   
Sasa Nie,Zhe Feng,Lihua Xia, et al. Risk factors of prognosis after acute kidney injury in hospitalized patients[J]. Front. Med., 2017, 11(3): 393-402.
 URL:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fmd/EN/10.1007/s11684-017-0532-9
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fmd/EN/Y2017/V11/I3/393
StageSerum creatinineUrine outputa
11.5?1.9 times baselineb or≥0.3 mg/dl (≥26.5 mmol/L) increase<0.5 ml/(kg·h) for 6?12h
22.0?2.9 times baseline<0.5 ml/(kg·h) for≥12 h
33.0 times baseline or increase in serum creatinine to≥4.0 mg/dl (≥353.6 mmol/L) or decrease in eGFR to<35 ml/(min·1.73 m2) in patients<18 years<0.3 ml/(kg·h) for≥24 h or anuria for≥12 h
Tab.1  Staging of AKI
Fig.1  Study profile AKI: acute kidney injury.
Survival condition at dischargeTotal (n = 1387)P value
Survival (n = 1185)Death (n = 202)
Age (year)61 (48,73)74 (59,82)63 (49,74)<0.001a
Age group<0.001a
      12?19 years32 (2.7%)2 (1.0%)34 (2.5%)
      20?39 years142 (12.0%)13 (6.4%)155 (11.2%)
      40?59 years387 (32.7%)40 (19.8%)427 (30.8%)
      60?79 years505 (42.6%)74 (36.6%)579 (41.7%)
      ≥80 years119 (10.0%)73 (36.1%)192 (13.8%)
Men814 (68.7%)148 (73.3%)962 (69.4%)0.192
AKI stage<0.001a
      1618 (52.2%)51 (25.3%)669 (48.2%)
      2283 (23.9%)48 (23.8%)331 (23.9%)
      3284 (24.0%)103 (51.0%)387 (27.9%)
BMI24.3±4.222.3±4.024.0±4.2<0.001a
      <18.580 (6.8%)33 (16.9%)113 (8.2%)
      18.5?23.9493 (41.9%)97 (49.7%)590 (43.0%)
      24?27.9407 (34.6%)53 (27.2%)460 (33.6%)
      28?34.9183 (15.6%)11 (5.6%)194 (14.2%)
      ≥3513 (1.1%)1 (0.5%)14 (1.0%)
AKI classification0.151
      Pre-renal641 (54.1%)122 (60.4%)763 (55.0%)
      Intrinsic-renal498 (42.0%)76 (37.6%)574 (41.4%)
      Post-renal46 (3.9%)4 (2.0%)50 (3.6%)
Underlying disease
      Hypertension550 (46.4%)111 (55.0%)661 (47.7%)0.025a
      Malignancy326 (27.5%)82 (40.6%)408 (29.4%)<0.001a
      CHD317 (26.8%)80 (39.6%)397 (28.6%)<0.001a
      Diabetes276 (23.3%)52 (25.7%)328 (23.7%)0.449
      CKD222 (18.7%)38 (18.8%)260 (18.8%)0.979
      Cirrhosis55 (4.6%)8 (4.0%)63 (4.5%)0.667
      MODS41 (3.5%)15 (7.4%)56 (4.0%)0.008a
      COPD32 (2.7%)14 (6.9%)46 (3.3%)0.002a
      Sepsis22 (1.9%)8 (4.0%)30 (2.2%)0.101
      Numberb1 (0,1)2 (1,2)2 (1,2)<0.001a
Injury factors
      Infection690 (58.2%)155 (76.7%)845 (60.9%)<0.001a
      Antibiotics683 (57.6%)124 (61.4%)807 (58.2%)0.318
      Diuretics539 (45.5%)120 (59.4%)659 (47.5%)<0.001a
      Colloid infusion439 (37.1%)86 (42.6%)525 (37.9%)0.134
      NSAID305 (23.9%)51 (25.1%)356 (24.1%)0.089
      Low cardiac output151 (12.7%)53 (26.2%)204 (14.7%)<0.001a
      Post-CPR26 (2.2%)8 (4.0%)34 (2.5%)0.210
      Numberb3 (1,5)4 (2,5)3 (1,5)0.139
APACHE II10.6±6.019.5±8.911.9±7.2<0.001a
SOFA4 (2,7)9 (5,14)4 (2,8)<0.001a
Laboratory examinationa
      Hb (g/L)108.9±26.0100.7±30.0107.7±26.7<0.001a
      WBC (× 109/L)10.0 (6.9,14.0)11.8 (7.6,18.4)10.3 (7.1,14.4)<0.001a
      PLT (× 109/L)168.5 (107.0,230.0)126.0 (66.0,203.0)163.0 (100.0,228.0)<0.001a
      ALB (g/L)32.5±6.830.0±6.432.1±6.8<0.001a
      TBil (mmol/L)11.2 (6.8,20.9)16.6 (8.5,43.0)11.8 (7.0,22.1)<0.001a
      Baseline SCr (mmol/L)85.2 (68.6,115.7)79.0 (58.7,102.2)84.1 (67.2,114.7)<0.001a
      SCr on diagnosis (mmol/L)157.9 (125.8,229.5)157.9 (119.6,224.2)157.9 (125.4,227.7)0.184
      Peak SCr (mmol/L)166.2 (131.2,244.9)196.7 (145.8,279.3)170.0 (132.7,254.6)0.004a
      SUA (      mmol/L)418.9 (315.9,540.8)434.4 (325.0,596.1)422.3 (317.3,548.5)0.063
      LDHc(U/L)235.7 (177.6,380.3)485.0 (261.5,1033.0)248.5 (181.6,443.2)<0.001a
RRT121 (10.2%)40 (19.8%)161 (11.6%)<0.001a
Hospital stay (day)18.0 (10.5,29.0)18.5 (9.0,35.5)18.0 (10.0,30.0)0.597
Hospital costcd(CNY)77 889 (36 756, 131 609)95 394 (48 949, 181 141)79 475 (37 784, 135 837)<0.001a
Tab.2  Characteristics of patients with AKI according to survival condition
CausesPatients, n (%)
Surgery-related AKI226 (16.29%)
Decreased cardiac output179 (12.91%)
Systemic vascular dilatation147 (10.60%)
Drug-related AKI197 (14.20%)
Infection-related AKI145 (10.45%)
Renal ischemia-related AKI110 (7.93%)
Glomerular AKI62 (4.47%)
Urethral obstruction-related AKI50 (3.60%)
Tab.3  Etiology distribution of AKI
Fig.2  Kaplan?Meier plot of cumulative rates of in-hospital survival by AKI stage.
VariablesP valueOR (95% CI)
AKI stage
      1?1a
      20.03b1.78 (1.06,3.00)
      3<0.001b4.21 (2.44,7.24)
Age
      12?19 years?1a
      20?39 years0.541.68 (0.32,8.77)
      40?59 years0.711.35 (0.28,6.53)
      60?79 years0.421.90 (0.39,9.12)
      ≥80 years0.02b7.14 (1.43,35.53)
BMI
      <18.5?1a
      18.5?23.90.390.77 (0.42,1.40)
      24?27.90.080.56 (0.29,1.08)
      28?34.9<0.001b0.19 (0.07,0.50)
      ≥350.260.27 (0.03,2.73)
Underlying disease
      Number of underlying disease (yes vs. no)0.381.19 (0.81,1.74)
      Hypertension0.561.19 (0.66,2.14)
      CHD0.251.46 (0.77,2.77)
      Tumor0.01b2.19 (1.23,3.90)
      MODS0.571.31 (0.52,3.25)
      CKD0.941.03 (0.53,1.98)
      COPD0.621.26 (0.50,3.16)
Injury factors (yes vs. no)
      DIC0.074.06 (0.88,18.66)
      Hypovolemia0.611.14 (0.68,1.92)
      Low cardiac output<0.001b2.62 (1.55,4.42)
      Contrast medium0.170.51 (0.20,1.34)
      ACEI/ARBs0.160.54 (0.23,1.28)
      Diuretic0.551.13 (0.76,1.68)
Laboratory indexes
      Hb (1 g/L)0.911.00 (0.99,1.01)
      WBC (1 × 109/L)<0.001b1.04 (1.01,1.06)
      PLT (1 × 109/L)0.01b1.00 (1.00,1.00)
      ALB (1 g/L)0.03b0.96 (0.93,1.00)
      TBil (1 mmol/L)0.081.00 (1.00,1.00)
      Peak SCr (1 mmol/L)0.141.00 (1.00,1.00)
      LDH (1 U/L)0.171.00 (1.00,1.00)
RRT (yes vs. no)0.481.23 (0.69,2.21)
Tab.4  Multivariate logistic regression analysis for the factors associated with all-cause in-hospital mortality of AKI
VariablesP valueOR (95% CI)
AKI stage<0.001a
      1?1b
      2<0.001a1.85 (1.30,2.63)
      3<0.001a2.78 (1.82,4.23)
Underlying disease (yes vs. no) 
      Hypertension0.160.80 (0.59,1.09)
      Sepsis0.102.46 (0.84,7.17)
      CHD0.401.17 (0.81,1.71)
      Tumor0.01a1.63 (1.16,2.28)
      MODS0.550.79 (0.35,1.74)
      CKD0.170.74 (0.49,1.13)
Injury factors (yes vs. no)
      Post-CPR0.03a2.66 (1.11,6.35)
      Hypovolemia0.251.27 (0.85,1.90)
      Antibiotics0.391.16 (0.83,1.63)
      Colloid0.411.15 (0.82,1.62)
      Antineoplastic drug0.101.52 (0.92,2.51)
Laboratory index 
      Hb (1 g/L)0.571.00 (0.99,1.00)
      PLT (1 × 109/L)0.941.00 (1.00,1.00)
      ALB (1 g/L)0.290.99 (0.97,1.01)
      Peak SCr (1 mmol/L)0.881.00 (1.00,1.00)
      LDH (1 U/L)0.361.00 (1.00,1.00)
RRT (yes vs. no)<0.001a5.18 (3.00,8.95)
Tab.5  Multivariate logistic regression analysis for the factors associated with renal function recovery at discharge in AKI
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