Grain production trends in Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan: New opportunities in an increasingly unstable world?

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Front Earth Sci

0, Vol.

Issue () : 157-166 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-012-0318-y

RESEARCH ARTICLE

Grain production trends in Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan: New opportunities in an increasingly unstable world?

Elena LIOUBIMTSEVA¹(

), Geoffrey M. HENEBRY²

1. Geography and Planning Department and Environmental Studies Program, Grand Valley State University, Allendale, MI 49401-9403, USA; 2. Geographic Information Science Center of Excellence, South Dakota State University, Brookings, SD 57007-3510, USA

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Abstract

Grain production in the countries of the former USSR sharply declined during the past two decades and has only recently started to recover. In the context of the current economic and food-price crisis, Russia, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan might be presented with a window of opportunity to reemerge on the global agricultural market, if they succeed in increasing their productivity. The future of their agriculture, however, is highly sensitive to a combination of internal and external factors, such as institutional changes, land-use changes, climate variability and change, and global economic trends. The future of this region’s grain production is likely to have a significant impact on the global and regional food security over the next decades.

Keywords Russia Ukraine Kazakhstan food security global change grain production

Corresponding Author(s): LIOUBIMTSEVA Elena,Email:lioubime@gvsu.edu

Issue Date: 05 June 2012

Cite this article:

Elena LIOUBIMTSEVA,Geoffrey M. HENEBRY. Grain production trends in Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan: New opportunities in an increasingly unstable world?[J]. Front Earth Sci, 0, (): 157-166.

URL:

https://academic.hep.com.cn/fesci/EN/10.1007/s11707-012-0318-y
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fesci/EN/Y0/V/I/157

Fig.1 Groups of factors affecting food production

Fig.2 A1FI scenario for the period around 2050 generated from an average of 20 AOGCMs used in the IPCC AR4 (a) summer temperature (°C) and (b) summer precipitation (%)

Tab.1 OECD-FAO Projections of the world’s grain exports

Tab.2 Grain production scenarios

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