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Frontiers of Medicine

ISSN 2095-0217

ISSN 2095-0225(Online)

CN 11-5983/R

Postal Subscription Code 80-967

2018 Impact Factor: 1.847

Front. Med.    2023, Vol. 17 Issue (1) : 58-67    https://doi.org/10.1007/s11684-022-0937-y
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Association of cardiac disease with the risk of post-lung transplantation mortality in Chinese recipients aged over 65 years
Guohui Jiao, Shugao Ye, Ji Zhang, Bo Wu, Dong Wei, Dong Liu, Feng Liu, Chunxiao Hu, Jingyu Chen()
Wuxi Lung Transplant Center, Wuxi People’s Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi 214023, China
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Abstract

The current organ allocation rules prioritize elderly and urgent patients on the lung transplantation (LT) waiting list. A steady increase in the threshold at which age is taken into consideration for LT has been observed. This retrospective cohort study recruited 166 lung transplant recipients aged ≥ 65 years between January 2016 and October 2020 in the largest LT center in China. In the cohort, subgroups of patients aged 65–70 years (111 recipients, group 65–70) and ≥ 70 years (55 recipients, group ≥ 70) were included. Group D restrictive lung disease was the main indication of a lung transplant in recipients over 65 years. A significantly higher percentage of coronary artery stenosis was observed in the group ≥ 70 (30.9% vs. 14.4% in group 65–70, P = 0.014). ECMO bridging to LT was performed in 5.4% (group 65–70) and 7.3% (group ≥ 70) of patients. Kaplan–Meier estimates showed that recipients with cardiac abnormalities had a significantly increased risk of mortality. After adjusting for potential confounders, cardiac abnormality was shown to be independently associated with the increased risk of post-LT mortality (HR 6.37, P = 0.0060). Our result showed that LT can be performed in candidates with an advanced age and can provide life-extending benefits.

Keywords cardiac disease      mortality      aged population      lung transplantation     
Corresponding Author(s): Jingyu Chen   
Just Accepted Date: 20 October 2022   Online First Date: 19 December 2022    Issue Date: 15 March 2023
 Cite this article:   
Guohui Jiao,Shugao Ye,Ji Zhang, et al. Association of cardiac disease with the risk of post-lung transplantation mortality in Chinese recipients aged over 65 years[J]. Front. Med., 2023, 17(1): 58-67.
 URL:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fmd/EN/10.1007/s11684-022-0937-y
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fmd/EN/Y2023/V17/I1/58
Group 65–70 (N = 111) Group ≥ 70 (N = 55) Χ2/t P
Gender, male, n (%) 96 (86.5) 51(92.7) 1.413 0.305
Age (year), mean ± SD 66.3 ± 1.4 72.5 ± 2.2
BMI at transplant (kg/m2), mean ± SD 21.95 ± 3.8 21.81 ± 3.5 0.203 0.840
Residency in Jiangsu Province, n (%) 30 (27.1) 22 (40) 4.623 0.036
Pretransplant tobacco use, n (%) 64 (57.7) 21 (38.2) 4.593 0.028
Primary diagnosis, n (%) 0.886 0.368
Group A obstructive lung disease 27 (24.3) 13 (23.6)
Group D restrictive lung disease 77 (69.4) 42 (76.4)
Others 7 (6.3) 0
Medical condition at transplantation, n (%) 2.195 0.334
In ICU 9 (8.1) 3 (5.5)
Hospitalized but not in ICU 99 (89.2) 48 (87.3)
Not hospitalized 3 (2.7) 4 (7.2)
NYHA Grade, n (%)
II 23 (20.7) 1 (1.8)
III 52 (46.8) 31(56.4)
IV 36 (32.4) 23 (41.8)
Cardiac vascular abnormality (CTA), n (%) 6.282 0.014
Medium and severe 16 (14.4) 17 (30.9)
Cardiac valve abnormality (chest echo), n (%) 2.593 0.118
Medium and severe 9 (8.1) 9 (16.4)
Mean PAP (mmHg), mean ± SD 58.2 ± 19.1 54.9 ± 11.2 1.073 0.286
LVEF value (%), mean ± SD 61.2 ± 3.7 60.4 ± 3.2 0.939 0.350
Chronic steroid use, n (%) 13 (11.7) 13 (23.6) 3.959 0.047
ECMO bridging, n (%) 6 (5.4) 4 (7.3) 0.227 0.732
Group D 6 (100) 4 (100) 0.227 0.732
Mechanical ventilation bridging, n (%) 2 (1.8) 2 (3.6) 0.526 0.6
Creatinine (μmol/L), mean ± SD 63.1 ± 16.9 60.4 ± 14.7 0.797 0.428
ALT (U/L), mean ± SD 24.9 ± 20.1 22.9 ± 11.1 0.512 0.525
Total bilirubin (μmol/L), mean ± SD 13.8 ± 7.9 14.6 ± 6.1 0.574 0.568
Pretransplant 6MWD (m), mean ± SD 183.6 ± 98.6 217.8 ± 83.9 1.089 0.288
6MWD not tolerated, n (%) 83(74.8) 44(80) 0.559 0.561
Hypertension, n (%) 34 (30.6) 23 (41.8) 5.792 0.018
Cardiac disease history, patient-reported, n (%) 31 (27.9) 23 (41.8) 7.603 0.009
Cerebral vascular disease, n (%) 3 (2.7) 3 (5.5) 0.799 0.399
Diabetes, n (%) 30 (27.0) 13 (23.6) 0.220 0.709
Pre-transplant pulmonary embolism, n (%) 3 (2.7) 4 (7.3) 1.902 0.221
CMV-IgG positive, n (%) 64 (57.7) 35 (63.6) 0.546 0.504
CMV-IgM positive, n (%) 1 (0.9) 3 (5.5) 3.243 0.107
EB-IgG positive, n (%) 34 (30.6) 18 (32.7) 0.075 0.859
Pulmonary infection need admission, n (%) 51 (45.9) 37 (67.3) 6.715 0.013
Tab.1  Recipient preoperative characteristics
Group 65–70 (N = 111) Group ≥ 70 (N = 55) Χ2/t P
Donor age (year), mean ± SD 39.5 ± 14.5 39.4 ± 10.6 0.040 0.969
Donor/recipient gender mismatch, n (%) 12 (10.8) 7 (12.7) 0.2 0.788
Donor type DBD, n (%) 75 (67.6) 31 (56.4) 1.632 0.228
Donor intubation time before recovery, day, mean ± SD 7.6 ± 11.4 5.5 ± 6.1 1.130 0.262
Donor P/F, mean ± SD 419.7 ± 116.9 443.9 ± 70.6 1.168 0.247
OTO scorea, median (IQR) 2 (0.5,4) 3(0,4.75) 0.985
Interprovincial transportation via GCHOT, n (%) 73 (65.8) 37(67.3) 0.037 0.864
Cold ischemic time (min), mean ± SD 434.6 ± 113.8 395.9 ± 95.9 2.263 0.025
Transplantation type, n (%) 14.447 0.001
Bilateral (BLT) 38 (34.2) 5 (9.1)
Single, left (SLLT) 34 (30.6) 30 (54.5)
Single, right (SRLT) 39 (35.1) 20 (36.4)
Blood loss (mL), median (IQR) 1000 (600,1250) 800 (600,1000) 0.019
With intraoperative ECMO support, n (%) 81 (73) 36 (65.5) 0.999 0.367
In SLT 57 (70.4) 33 (91.7) 6.368 0.016
ICU stay, day, median (IQR) 5 (3,8) 4 (3,7) 0.880
Tab.2  Intraoperative characteristics
Group 65–70 (N = 111) Group ≥ 70 (N = 55) Χ2/t P
Drug-resistant bacterial infection, n (%) 101 (91) 52 (94.5) 0.644 0.548
Fungal infection, n (%) 46 (41.4) 32 (58.2) 4.138 0.048
Bronchostenosis, n (%) 19 (17.1) 9 (16.4) 0.015 0.903
Acute rejection, n (%) 8 (7.2) 10 (18.2) 4.582 0.038
Valve abnormality post-LT (chest echo), n (%) 23 (20.7) 19 (34.5) 3.719 0.060
Cardiac arrhythmia, n (%) 51 (45.9) 36 (65.5) 5.612 0.021
Cerebral dysfunction, n (%) 57 (51.4) 23 (41.8) 1.339 0.254
Delirium 14 (12.6) 6 (10.9) 0.101 0.751
Depression/anxiety 10 (9) 5 (9.1) 0.000 1.000
Change on cerebral imaging/electrophysiology 20 (18) 11 (20) 0.095 0.833
PGD (≥ grade 2 at 72 h), n (%) 64 (57.7) 32 (58.2) 0.004 0.949
Reintubation, n (%) 22 (19.8) 10 (18.2) 0.063 0.838
Pleural effusion, n (%) 31 (27.9) 33 (60) 15.969 0.000
Pulmonary embolism, n (%) 7 (6.3) 5 (9.1) 0.425 0.535
GERD, n (%) 12 (10.8) 1 (1.8) 4.120 0.062
Acute kidney injury, n (%) 29 (26.1) 17 (30.9) 0.420 0.582
Need CRRT in patients with AKI, n (%) 13 (44.8) 13 (76.5) 4.3672 0.064
Creatinine at 6 months (μmol/L), mean ± SD 66.7 ± 20.6 75.6 ± 13.7 0.856 0.409
Creatinine at 1 year (μmol/L), mean ± SD 98.2 ± 55.5 119.1 ± 23.3 0.871 0.398
Creatinine at 3 years (μmol/L), mean ± SD 81.3 ± 6.66 93.8 ± 18.5 1.102 0.332
Cyclosporine-based immunosuppression, n (%) 13 (11.7) 9 (16.4) 0.692 0.468
Tacrolimus-based immunosuppression, n (%) 59 (53.2) 27 (49.1) 0.243 0.742
Survival upon discharged, n (%) 91 (82) 45 (81.8) 0.001 0.979
Death, n (%) 38 (34.2) 27 (49.1) 3.407 0.091
Infection 18 (47.4) 12 (44.4) 0.054 0.816
Multiorgan dysfunction 8 (21.1) 8 (29.6) 0.626 0.561
Hemorrhage 5 (13.2) 0 0.061
Death in Diagnosis Group D, n (%) 25 (32.4) 21(50) 2.039 0.169
6 min walking distance (m, mean ± SD) 429 ± 82.5 370.3 ± 39.8 1.153 0.279
FEV1 (%) at 6 months, mean ± SD 63.5 ± 18.2 78.9 ± 20.5 2.408 0.021
FVC (%) at 6 months, mean ± SD 60.9 ± 16.1 67.5 ± 16.4 1.218 0.230
FEV1/FVC (%) at 6 months, mean ± SD 83.1 ± 10.5 87.5 ± 9.5 1.390 0.171
FEV1 (%) at 1 year, mean ± SD 69.1 ± 23.7 75.0 ± 16.8 0.770 0.448
FVC (%) at 1 year, mean ± SD 65.2 ± 21.1 68.2 ± 13.52 0.425 0.674
FEV1/FVC (%) at 1 year, mean ± SD 80.1 ± 11.9 84.1 ± 7.6 1.068 0.295
FEV1 (%) at 3 years, mean ± SDa 75.2 ± 20.2 82.1 ± 15.3 0.740 0.469
FVC (%) at 3 years, mean ± SDa 77.4 ± 15.2 74.5 ± 20.2 0.131 0.897
FEV1/FVC (%) at 3 years, mean ± SDa 76.2 ± 12.4 84.1 ± 9.2 1.280 0.219
Confirmed diagnosis of CLAD at 3 years, n (%) 30 (27) 12(21.8) 0.528 0.467
Tab.3  Post-LT characteristics
Fig.1  Kaplan–Meier plot demonstrating time to death in lung transplant recipients stratified by age (A), cardiac abnormality (B), and NYHA Grade (C). The solid lines are the Kaplan–Meier survival estimates for each age group, and the shaded areas represent the 95% confidence bands. In the log-rank test, P value was used to compare the curves among the strata.
Cardiac abnormality Crude model(HR, 95% CI, P value) Model I(HR, 95% CI, P value) Model II(HR, 95% CI, P value) Model III(HR, 95% CI, P value)
No Ref Ref Ref Ref
Yes 1.93 (1.16, 3.21)0.0109 1.82 (1.09, 3.05) 0.0225 2.14 (1.20, 3.79) 0.0094 6.37 (1.70, 23.84) 0.0060
Tab.4  Relationship between cardiac abnormality and mortality in different models
Variables Cardiac abnormality (−) Cardiac abnormality (+) P for interaction
No. of cases HR (95% CI) No. of cases HR (95% CI)
Age group (year) 0.0013
65–70 87 Ref 24 12.93 (3.12, 53.59)
≥ 70 35 7.35 (1.53, 35.34) 20 2.47 (0.41, 14.79)
Primary diagnosis 0.8852
Non-Group D 24 Ref 13 4.50 (0.58, 34.83)
Group D 88 1.83 (0.36, 9.23) 31 6.95 (1.05, 46.16)
Transplantation type 0.9259
SLLT 42 Ref 22 2.56 (0.27, 24.63)
SRLT 43 5.64 (0.73, 43.65) 16 12.69 (1.75, 92.21)
Tab.5  Effect size of cardiac abnormality on mortality in subgroups
Fig.2  Cumulative rate of transplant strategy of bilateral/single-lateral LT and ECMO when considering main indications and cardiac abnormality.
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