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Frontiers of Agricultural Science and Engineering

ISSN 2095-7505

ISSN 2095-977X(Online)

CN 10-1204/S

Postal Subscription Code 80-906

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Front. Agr. Sci. Eng.    2017, Vol. 4 Issue (1) : 69-80    https://doi.org/10.15302/J-FASE-2017140
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Allocation of grassland, livestock and arable based on the spatial and temporal analysis for food demand in China
Huilong LIN(), Ruichao LI, Yifan LIU, Jingrong ZHANG, Jizhou REN
State key Laboratory of Grassland Agro-ecosystems, College of Pastoral Agriculture Science and Technology, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730020, China
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Abstract

To explore the distribution of food demand and the projected trend in future food demand in China, this paper analyzed the change in current (1998–2012) per-capita demand for grain, grain-consuming and herbivorous livestock products, and predicted the food demand in 2020. The results indicated that in 1998–2012, the national per-capita consumption of grain ration declined by about 36.66%, and the per-capita consumption of grain-consu-ming and herbivorous livestock products increased by about 48% and 34.09%, respectively. The grain-consu-ming livestock products have become the primary source of both calories and protein for consumers. The proportion of herbivorous livestock products in consumer diets has increased steadily and there has been huge potential in substituting beef and mutton for pork in this dynamic market. The demand for food in different provinces of China is highly variable, which is important for planning grassland agriculture development and ensuring food safety. The demand for grain, and grain-consuming and herbivorous livestock products will increase by about 3.3%, 20% and 14% respectively by 2020. Based on the food demand and trend in the development of grassland agriculture, the 31 provinces in China are divided into three priority groups for grassland agriculture development.
Keywords arable land equivalent unit (ALEU)      food equivalent unit (FEU)      food security      grassland agriculture      time trend prediction     
Corresponding Author(s): Huilong LIN   
Just Accepted Date: 28 February 2017   Online First Date: 23 March 2017    Issue Date: 06 March 2017
 Cite this article:   
Huilong LIN,Ruichao LI,Yifan LIU, et al. Allocation of grassland, livestock and arable based on the spatial and temporal analysis for food demand in China[J]. Front. Agr. Sci. Eng. , 2017, 4(1): 69-80.
 URL:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fase/EN/10.15302/J-FASE-2017140
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fase/EN/Y2017/V4/I1/69
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