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An inquiry into the causes of inadequate household
consumption in China—An analysis based on provincial data of
urban and rural China
FANG Fuqian,
Front. Econ. China. 2009, 4 (4): 526-547.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11459-009-0028-x
This paper uses Chinese urban and rural panel data for 30 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities (except Tibet and Taiwan) on the consumption of Chinese urban and rural households in 1995–2005, by constructiong a random effect model, to analyze the impact of sources of household’s consumption demand on the Chinese economy. The quantitative analysis reveals that the per capita disposable income of households is highly relevant in explaining households’ per capita consumption expenditure, in these eleven years, and that China’s consumption function was fairly stable. On the basis of flow of funds accounts (barter transaction) data in 1992–2004, the paper further reveals that, since 1997–1998, China’s consumer demand remains in the doldrums because of the following distribution and redistribution process of the national income: The Government’s share of total income and disposable income is becoming ever larger, while the share of households is declining. Aside from the result that a rise in the burden of personal tuition has a negative impact on per capita consumption demand for urban households, we have not found that housing reform or medical expenses significantly reduce consumer demand in China. We believe that low household consumption demand is caused mainly by the income redistribution between households, government, and corporations rather than the inequality in income distribution across households.
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Engine or drag: Can high energy consumption and
CO2 emission drive the sustainable development of Chinese industry?
CHEN Shiyi,
Front. Econ. China. 2009, 4 (4): 548-571.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11459-009-0029-9
To analyze China industrial sustainable development featured with high energy consumption and high CO2 emission, this paper constructs the input and output panel data of China’s 38 sub-industries, estimates their productivity and carries out the green growth accounting based on translog production function. This paper concludes that, as a whole, China industry has achieved the transformation from extensive to intensive growth, with the productivity to be the first driving force, that is necessary to sustainable development in the long run. In addition to technical progress, energy and capital have also been driving the industrial growth during the sample period, while labor and emission made less even negative contribution to it. Some heavy industries, however, are still characterized by extensive growth and must improve their energy-save and emission-abate technology to favor the sustainable development of overall Chinese industry.
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Local government expenditure, RBC model and regional
business cycle in China—Take Tianjin for example
YANG Guang,
Front. Econ. China. 2009, 4 (4): 588-600.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11459-009-0031-2
In this paper, the actual economy in Tianjin Municipal city are simulated with RBC model through introducing local government expenditure. From the works review and stylized facts, it is easy to find that government expenditure will have important influence on economy. Then this paper provides new evidence to support this judgment by DCC theory. After concluding the stylized facts of Tianjin city, a regional RBC model with local government expenditure is developed. Next, this paper starts to solve this RBC model, get log-linearization of the solution and estimate all parameters. A program on Matlab is made to simulate actual economy in Tianjin city with this RBC model. The result is the RBC model with local government expenditure has better performance than that without local government expenditure. Therefore, it will be necessary to consider local government expenditure, if regional economy is researched.
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“Fertility effect” or “supporting
effect?” —Quantity of children and parental health
CHEN Guodong, LEI Xiaoyan,
Front. Econ. China. 2009, 4 (4): 601-616.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11459-009-0032-1
Using the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey, we try to identify the effect that quantity of children has on the health statuses of elderly parents. After dealing with a potential endogeneity problem using instrumental variable estimation, we find no significant long-arm “fertility effect,” but do find a positive “supporting effect” of the quantity of children on parental health. That is, giving birth to more children has no significant effect, but the availability of additional children in old age has a beneficial effect on health during that time. Further investigation yields a more significant effect on mothers than on fathers, and a more pronounced effect on cognitive health than on physical health, as measured by occurrences of hypertension.
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