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Frontiers of Earth Science

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ISSN 2095-0209(Online)

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Front. Earth Sci.    2014, Vol. 8 Issue (2) : 231-241    https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-013-0393-8
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Development of a model-based flood emergency management system in Yujiang River Basin, South China
Yong ZENG1,Yanpeng CAI2,3,*(),Peng JIA4,Jiansu MAO2
1. State Key Laboratory of Petroleum Resource and Prospecting, College of Geosciences, China Petroleum University, Beijing 102249, China
2. State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
3. Institute for Energy, Environment and Sustainability Communities, University of Regina, Regina, Sask S4S 7H9, Canada
4. Appraisal Center for Environment and Engineering, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Beijing 100012, China
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Abstract

Flooding is the most frequent disaster in China. It affects people’s lives and properties, causing considerable economic loss. Flood forecast and operation of reservoirs are important in flood emergency management. Although great progress has been achieved in flood forecast and reservoir operation through using computer, network technology, and geographic information system technology in China, the prediction accuracy of models are not satisfactory due to the unavailability of real-time monitoring data. Also, real-time flood control scenario analysis is not effective in many regions and can seldom provide online decision support function. In this research, a decision support system for real-time flood forecasting in Yujiang River Basin, South China (DSS-YRB) is introduced in this paper. This system is based on hydrological and hydraulic mathematical models. The conceptual framework and detailed components of the proposed DSS-YRB is illustrated, which employs real-time rainfall data conversion, model-driven hydrologic forecasting, model calibration, data assimilation methods, and reservoir operational scenario analysis. Multi-tiered architecture offers great flexibility, portability, reusability, and reliability. The applied case study results show the development and application of a decision support system for real-time flood forecasting and operation is beneficial for flood control.
Keywords flood      decision support system      numerical modeling      scenarios analysis      Yujiang River Basin     
Corresponding Author(s): Yanpeng CAI   
Issue Date: 24 June 2014
 Cite this article:   
Yong ZENG,Yanpeng CAI,Peng JIA, et al. Development of a model-based flood emergency management system in Yujiang River Basin, South China[J]. Front. Earth Sci., 2014, 8(2): 231-241.
 URL:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fesci/EN/10.1007/s11707-013-0393-8
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fesci/EN/Y2014/V8/I2/231
Occurrence dateYujiang RiverYoujiang RiverZuojiang River
Q NanningQ Baise ReservoirQ Chongzuo
11937-08-3116, 3009, 0007, 480
21942-07-2514, 9002, 9405, 040
31946-07-2411, 7005, 3002, 440
41955-09-3011, 1001, 7901, 600
51958-09-2211, 1003, 3003, 690
61968-08-2113, 3005, 1606, 980
71971-08-2112, 3003, 4305, 900
81985-09-0112, 4003, 3103, 420
91986-07-2812, 1002, 3709, 060
101992-07-2811, 1001, 9105, 970
111994-07-2211, 1001, 8403, 300
Tab.1  The previous floods at Nanning station (m3/s)
Fig.1  Architecture frameworks of DSS-YRB.
Fig.2  The flow chart of DSS-YRB.
Fig.3  The divided results of sub-basin for Yujiang River Basin.
Fig.4  Calibration result of flow of Naan (a), Bada (b), and Chengbihe (c) reservoir stations.
Sub-basinArea/km2DC
Bada1, 5830.70
Wangdian1, 0730.70
Ronghua2, 1340.90
Yingzu1, 1670.86
Naan3, 8710.93
Chengbihe reservoir1, 4560.59
Tab.2  Calibration accuracies of NAM model for some sub-basin
Fig.5  Calibration results at Nanning Station.
Fig.6  The real time flood forecasting at Nanning station in September 24, 2008.
Fig.7  The Stage hydrograph at Nanning station with different water release of Baise reservoir.
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