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Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering

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Front. Environ. Sci. Eng.    2024, Vol. 18 Issue (10) : 130    https://doi.org/10.1007/s11783-024-1890-6
Continuous wildfires threaten public and ecosystem health under climate change across continents
Guochao Chen1, Minghao Qiu2,3, Peng Wang4,5, Yuqiang Zhang6, Drew Shindell7(), Hongliang Zhang1,5,8()
1. Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China
2. Doerr School of Sustainability and Center for Innovation in Global Health, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
3. School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, and Program in Public Health, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY 11794, USA
4. Department of Atmospheric and Marine Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China
5. IRDR ICoE on Risk Interconnectivity and Governance on Weather/Climate Extremes Impact and Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China
6. Environment Research Institute, Shandong University, Qingdao 266237, China
7. Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA
8. Institute of Eco-Chongming, Shanghai 200062, China
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Abstract

● Wildfire and emission patterns vary globally, intensifying at high latitudes.

● Climate change-driven warming and drought are key in wildfire patterns.

● Wildfires impact health, especially in high-emission areas, lack management.

Wildfires burn approximately 3%–4% of the global land area annually, resulting in massive emissions of greenhouse gases and air pollutants. Over the past two decades, there has been a declining trend in both global burned area and wildfire emissions. This trend is largely attributed to a decrease in wildfire activity in Africa, which accounts for a substantial portion of the total burned area and emissions. However, the northern high-latitude regions of Asia and North America have witnessed substantial interannual variability in wildfire activity, with several severe events occurring in recent years. Climate plays a pivotal role in influencing wildfire activity and has led to more wildfires in high-latitude regions. These wildfires pose significant threats to climate, ecosystems, and human health. Given recent changes in wildfire patterns and their impacts, it is critical to understand the contributors of wildfires, focus on deteriorating high-latitude areas, and address health risks in poorly managed areas to mitigate wildfire effects.

Keywords Wildfire activity      Wildfire emissions      Climate change      Air quality     
Corresponding Author(s): Drew Shindell,Hongliang Zhang   
Issue Date: 16 July 2024
 Cite this article:   
Guochao Chen,Minghao Qiu,Peng Wang, et al. Continuous wildfires threaten public and ecosystem health under climate change across continents[J]. Front. Environ. Sci. Eng., 2024, 18(10): 130.
 URL:  
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fese/EN/10.1007/s11783-024-1890-6
https://academic.hep.com.cn/fese/EN/Y2024/V18/I10/130
Continent Vegetation Climate Policy Wildfire
Asia Boreal, tropical forests, peatlands Cold and wet in high-latitude forest; high temperature and abundant rainfall in tropical Less management in remote boreal forest and lack of management for tropical agricultural activities Severe in boreal and likely to worsen; South-east Asia affected by El Niño
North America Boreal forests, grasslands Cold and wet in high-latitude forest; hot and dry in western summers Limited prescribed fires and active fire suppression Severe in boreal and likely to worsen
Europe Temperate forests Hot and dry in Mediterranean summer Shift from strict fire suppression to prescribed fires Generally small scale except in occasional years
South America Tropical forests High temperature and rainfall in Amazon Diminished management in Amazon Severe in Amazon
Africa Savannas, grasslands High rainfall in wet season and low in dry season in semi-arid areas Little and late management Large scale but decreasing trend
Oceania Grasslands, forests High rainfall in wet season and low in dry season in semi-arid areas; moderate rainfall in temperate Southeast Fire suppression and prescribed fires Mostly in grassland except 2019–2020
Tab.1  Profiles of vegetation, climate, policies, and wildfires by continent
Fig.1  Recent global wildfire burned area and emissions (2003–2022). (a) Average emissions of CO2, BC (2003–2018), and PM2.5 (2003–2018) from fully anthropogenic (blue) and wildfire (red) sources, with 95% CI error bars. Data from Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR) and Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service Global Fire Assimilation System (GFAS). (b) Continental contributions to global cumulative BA and emissions of CO2, BC, and PM2.5. Data from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer burn product (MCD64A1) and GFAS. (c) Annual continental BA and emissions of CO2 and PM2.5. Bright bars represent the contributions of 2015 Indonesia, 2021 Siberia and North America, 2022 Mediterranean and 2019–2020 South-east Australia, respectively.
Fig.2  Factors influencing wildfires. VPD: vapor pressure deficit.
Fig.3  Effects posed by wildfires.
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